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Today is the 91th day of the year. There are 365 days this year. To say that again, there are 365 days in 2015 and 365 days this year.
If a given region has had 50 earthquakes so far, they are on track to have 201 this year (assuming the same rate). Using the template to do this, we could expect 201 earthquakes for the year.
2015 is a prior year.