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Comment: In accordance with Wikipedia's Conflict of interest policy, I disclose that I have a conflict of interest regarding the subject of this article. Tommaso Talli (talk) 18:55, 6 November 2025 (UTC)
The differential form of the Chapman–Kolmogorov equation describes the temporal evolution of the transition probability
of a Markov process, making explicit the relationship between the drift, diffusion, and transition rate terms in a stochastic model.
The Chapman-Kolmogorov equation imposes strict limits on the general form that the transition probability can take.
In general, if describes a Markov process, it must satisfy a well-defined partial differential equation.
[1]
where:
are the drift coefficients,
is the diffusion matrix, and
is the jump rate from state .
The motion described by this partial differential equation can be interpreted as composed of a continuous part (drift and diffusion) and a discontinuous part (jump term).
This equation means that the probability for the final position x to be finitely different from z goes to zero faster than Δt, as Δt goes to zero. Because of the form of this continuity condition, one is led to consider a method of dividing the differentiability conditions into parts: one corresponding to continuous motion of a representative point and the other to discontinuous motion.
We require the following conditions for all ε > 0:
i)
uniformly in x, z, and t for |x − z| ≥ ε;
ii)
iii)
The last two limits are uniform in z, ε, and t.
Notice that all higher-order coefficients of the form in ii) and iii) must vanish.
Derivation of the Differential Chapman–Kolmogorov Equation
We consider the time evolution of the expectation of a function f(z) which is twice continuously differentiable.[1]
Thus:
where we have used the Chapman–Kolmogorov equation in the positive term of first step to produce the corresponding term in second step.
We now divide the integral over x into two regions: |x − z| ≥ ε and |x − z| < ε.
When |x − z| < ε, since f(z) is, by assumption, twice continuously differentiable, we may write
where we have (by the twice continuous differentiability)
Now substitute on the main formula:
Lines 1–2:
By the assumed uniform convergence, we take the limit inside the integral to obtain
(using conditions (ii) and (iii)):
Line 3:
This is a remainder term and vanishes as . For
Lines 4–6:
We can put these all together to obtain
The whole right-hand side of the main formula is independent of ε. Hence, taking the limit ε → 0, we find
Notice, however, that we use the definition of a principal value:
The final step now is to integrate by parts. We find
Suppose the process is confined to a region with surface . Then clearly,
It is clear that by definition we have
But the conditions on and can result in discontinuities in these functions as defined by ii) and iii), since the conditional probability can vary discontinuously as crosses the boundary of , reflecting the fact that no transitions are allowed from outside to inside .
In integrating by parts, we are forced to differentiate both , and , and by our reasoning above, one cannot assume that this is possible on the boundary of the region. Hence, let us choose f(z) to be arbitrary but nonvanishing only in an arbitrary region entirely contained in . We can then deduce that for all z in the interior of , surface terms do not arise, since they necessarily vanish.
So we obtain Chapman-Kolmogorov differential form.
Famous equations from Chapman-Kolmogorov differential form
The Fokker-Planck equation[4]
in a Markov process is a special case of Chapman-Kolmogorov differential form equation
in which there is both a drift coefficient and a diffusion coefficient
but there are no jumps.
The Liouville's equation[1] in a Markov process is a special case of Chapman-Kolmogorov differential form equation in which only drift are present. This makes it a completely deterministic equation.
drift coefficients: This is the average rate of change of the variable and generates a net shift in the probability distribution , in practice generates an ordered probability flow.
diffusion coefficients: This is the covariance of the noise and describes the intensity and correlation of the random fluctuations of the system, in practice generates noise.
transition rate: This is the term that indicates the tendency of the system to transition from , in practice generates the jumps.
The form that the derivative of the probability can have based on the terms: drift, diffusion and jump.
^ abcdGardiner, Crispin W. (1996). "Differential Chapman-Kolmogorov Equation". In Haken, Hermann (ed.). Handbook of Stochastic Methods: for Physics, Chemistry and the Natural Sciences. Springer Series in Synergetics; Vol. 13 (2nd ed., 4th printing ed.). Berlin; Heidelberg; New York; Barcelona; Budapest; Hong Kong; London; Milan; Paris; Santa Clara; Singapore; Tokyo: Springer-Verlag. pp. 47–51. ISBN3-540-61634-9. ISSN0172-7389. OCLC473838804.
^Karatzas, Ioannis; Shreve, Steven E. (1991). Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus (2 ed.). New York: Springer. ISBN978-0-387-97655-6.
^Risken, Hannes (1989). The Fokker–Planck Equation: Methods of Solution and Applications. Springer Series in Synergetics, vol. 18. Berlin; Heidelberg: Springer. ISBN978-3-540-61530-9.
^Van Kampen, N. G. (2007). Stochastic Processes in Physics and Chemistry (3rd ed.). Amsterdam: Elsevier / North-Holland. ISBN978-0-444-52965-7.