Tropical cyclone forecast model

Average trends in forecast errors by the National Hurricane Center.

A tropical cyclone forecast model is a computer program that uses meteorological data to forecast the motion and intensity of tropical cyclones. Such models utilize powerful supercomputers with complex mathematical modeling software and meteorological data to calculate paths and intensities. There are two general types, statistical and dynamical, and two primary types of forecasts, track and intensity.

Other websites

• Tropical Cyclone Forecasters Reference Guide, Chapter 5
• Model Analyses and Forecasts from NCEP