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4 June 2025

diffhist Calibration (statistics) 19:57 0 2601:547:c701:57f0:9326:e53f:bd94:925a talk (→In probability prediction and forecasting: While the quote from Kahneman was correct (reproducing what he says in the interview), the correct way to phrase this would be "if you give all events that happen a probability of .6 and all the events that don't happen a probability of .4, your discrimination is perfect but your calibration is miserable".) Tags: Mobile edit Mobile web edit