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Opinion polling for the 2026 Peruvian general election

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In the Peruvian electoral system, for a candidate to be proclaimed the winner, they must obtain more than 50% of valid votes. In case no candidate achieves that percentage in the first electoral round, the two candidates with the most votes participate in a second round or ballot.

In the run-up to the next Peruvian general election, various organizations conduct opinion polls to measure the intention to vote in Peru in the previous period. The results of these surveys are shown in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the runoff of the previous general election, held on 6 June 2021, to the present.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical election of the President of the Republic. Intent polls and mock ballots are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates the poll was conducted in the field rather than the date of publication. When fieldwork dates are unknown, the publication date is given instead.

Peruvian electoral law prohibits the dissemination of polls in the week prior to the day of the electoral suffrage.

Presidential election

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Graphical summary

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% of votes024681012142022/07/022022/11/202023/1/27Rafael López AliagaKeiko FujimoriYonhy LescanoRoberto ChiabraAlfonso López ChauOpinion polling for the 2026 Peruvian general election Raw data


* Ineligible for presidency

2025

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size Other Blank / None Undecided
Fujimori López Aliaga Álvarez Butters Cerrón Barnechea López Chau Acuña Lescano Belaúnde
FP RP PPT AvP PL AP AN APP CooP LP
Ipsos Perú/América TV[1] 21–22 Jul 2025 1,205 9 8 6 2 2 2 2 25 32 12
CPI/RPP[2] 18–24 Jul 2025 1,200 9.7 8.9 7.0 1.8 2.8 3.2 1.9 1.1 7.2[a] 17.2 39.3
CIT/Expreso[3] 10–12 Jul 2025 1,200 7.9 14.2 10.9 4.2 1.3 2.3 6.8 2.4 13.5 11.9 24.6
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[4] 3–4 Jul 2025 1,204 9 7 6 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 15 37 13
CPI/RPP[5] 15–23 May 2025 1,200 10.3 8.4 6.9 1.6 3.3 1.8 33.7[b] 20.0 14.2
CIT/Expreso[6] 6–9 May 2025 1,220 9.3 9.3 15.8 1.6 6.8 14.8 28.3 14.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[7] 13–14 Apr 2025 1,206 11 6 6 2 2 2 2 3 2 22 32 10
CIT/Expreso[8] 27–31 Mar 2025 1,200 13 8.3 6 1 2 1 23 30 14
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[9] 9–10 Jan 2025 1,214 12 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 26[c] 30 14

2024

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size Other Blank / None Undecided
Fujimori Humala Álvarez Sagasti de Soto López Aliaga Mendoza López Chau Butters Torres Acuña
FP ANTAURO[d] PPT PM Prog. RP NP AN AvP APU APP
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[10] 10–11 Oct 2024 1,218 12 8 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 12[e] 30 17
CPI/RPP[11] 15–19 Jul 2024 1,370 2.2 1.0 1.3 2.5 1.8 1.6 23.6[f] 11.9 53.9
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[12] 17–18 Jul 2024 1,218 10 6 2 3 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 17[g] 21 24
Ipsos Perú/50+Uno[13] 25 May–2 Jun 2024 1,200 17.5 4.0 2.9 8.1 4.0 0.5 2.9 3.7 21.6[h] 13.3 21.5
IEP/La República[14] 16–21 Mar 2024 1,207 4.4 2.1 2.3 1.0 1.7 0.7 17.0[i] 26.8 44.0
Sensor[15] 19–23 Feb 2024 1,200 6.3 3.7 1.3 2.9 2.5 1.7 20.2[j] 61.5

2023

[edit]
Polling firm Date Sample size Other Blank / None Undecided
Fujimori Vizcarra Humala de Soto López Aliaga Mendoza López Chau Acuña Sagasti Torres
FP P1 ANTAURO Prog. RP NP AN APP PM APU
IEP/La República[16] 8–13 Dec 2023 1,210 4.1 3.0 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.6 13.4[k] 27.6 47.5
CPI[17] 13–18 Nov 2023 1,200 2.7 2.4 1.4 2.6 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.9 10.8[l] 15.5 59.1
CPI/RPP[18] 11–15 Jul 2023 1,200 4.8 5.6 4.6 9.8 2.4 2.7 8.5 20.6 41.0
CIT/Expreso[19] 29–31 May 2023 1,200 9.6 7.3 8.2 12.8 3.2 4.3 9.9 45.0
CPI/RPP[20] 23–28 Apr 2023 1,200 6.3 5.8 5.6 9.1 2.6 2.2 2.7 11.7 18.3 35.7
CIT/Expreso[21] 20–22 Apr 2023 1,200 9.6 7.5 8.6 13.5 1.4 22.2 19.2 18.0
CPI/RPP[22] 7–10 Mar 2023 1,200 3.1 2.3 3.7 5.1 8.2 2.0 2.1 1.0 10.1[m] 16.9 46.5
IEP/La República[23] 18–22 Feb 2023 1,201 2.4 2.0 1.3 4.2 2.8 1.1 4.5 0.2 2.1 9.3[n] 21.7 49.4
CIT/Expreso[24] 16–18 Feb 2023 1,200 9.3 9.4 11.8 2.0 22.2 24.0 21.2
CPI/RPP[25] 24–27 Jan 2023 1,200 3.2 2.4 1.6 5.2 8.6 1.1 0.7 1.4 11.2 13.8 50.9
IEP/La República[26] 21–25 Jan 2023 1,214 2.1 1.5 1.1 3.6 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 8.3 17.3 58.8
CIT/Expreso[27] 18–20 Jan 2023 1,200 9.8 9.3 12.2 2.0 21.0 22.0 23.8

2022

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Polling firm Date Sample size Other Blank / None Undecided
López Aliaga Humala de Soto Fujimori Vizcarra Mendoza Sagasti Lescano Chiabra Acuña
RP ANTAURO Prog. FP P1 NP PM AP UyP APP
CPI[28] 16–20 Nov 2022 1,200 9.7 9.0 7.2 7.0 3.6 1.9 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 9.1 28.6 20.8
CPI[29] 6–9 Sep 2022 1,200 5.9 5.3 6.2 3.9 3.4 1.6 3.3 2.3 2.4 11.9 14.9 43.2
CPI[30] 3–10 Aug 2022 1,200 4.2 1.5 4.8 3.6 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.3 12.4 8.5 58.7
CPI[31] 28 Jun–2 Jul 2022 1,128 7.2 1.0 5.0 4.8 2.0 2.3 1.1 1.8 1.0 9.5 13.0 54.1

Parliamentary election

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By political party

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Polling firm Date Sample size Lead
Ipsos Perú/América TV[32] 21–22 Jul 2025 1,205 7.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
CIT/Expreso[33] 10–12 Jul 2025 1,200 8.2 3.8 2.3 9.8 3.7 5.4 3.5 3.2 3.8 1.0 1.6
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[34] 13–14 Apr 2025 1,206 9.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[35] 9–10 Jan 2025 1,214 9.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[36] 10–11 Oct 2024 1,211 9.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[37] 17–18 Jul 2024 1,218 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21[38] 9–10 Nov 2023 1,205 8.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 3.0
Datum[39] 30 Jun4 Jul 2023 896 7.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0
CIT/Expreso[40][o] 20–22 Mar 2023 1,200 12.5 5.0 3.5 13.9 9.1 11.2 13.1 1.4 7.9 5.2 1.6 0.8
CIT/Expreso[41][o] 16–18 Feb 2023 1,200 13.3 6.9 2.9 14.1 10.8 13.0 15.7 1.3 3.3 4.4 2.7 1.6
Ipsos Perú/América TV[42] 9–10 Feb 2023 1,210 8.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 4.0
CIT/Expreso[43][o] 18–20 Jan 2023 1,200 14.6 2.7 16.9 12.4 14.9 17.9 1.5 4.9 3.0 1.0
2021 general 11 Apr 2021 11.3
24
9.0
16
13.4
37
9.3
13
7.5
15
7.5
7
6.1
5
4.6
0
6.6
5
5.8
5
5.4
3
2.1

Notes

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  1. ^ Including Jorge del Castillo at 1.0% and Roberto Chiabra at 1.0%
  2. ^ Including Martín Vizcarra at 15.1%, Hernando de Soto at 5.2%, Verónika Mendoza at 3.0%, Antauro Humala at 2.3%, Fernando Olivera at 0.8%, Jorge del Castillo at 0.8%, Roberto Chiabra at 0.6%, Julio Chávez Chiong at 0.6%, Susel Paredes at 0.5%, and Jonás Ataucusi at 0.5%
  3. ^ Including Carla García at 2%
  4. ^ Party disqualified on 31 October 2024
  5. ^ Including Rafael Belaúnde at 2%
  6. ^ Including Martín Vizcarra at 4.1%, Alberto Fujimori at 2.5%, Pedro Castillo at 1.9%, Carlos Bruce at 1.7%, Álvaro Paz de la Barra at 1.6%, Carlos Añaños at 1.5%, Salvador del Solar at 1.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.1%, and Arturo Fernández Bazán at 1.0%
  7. ^ Including José Luna at 2%, Rafael Belaúnde at 2%, Guido Bellido at 2%, and Yonhy Lescano at 2%
  8. ^ Including Martín Vizcarra at 12.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 5.9%, Carlos Añaños at 1.3%, Alberto Otárola at 1.0%, Carlos Neuhaus at 0.8%, and Vladimir Cerrón at 0.3
  9. ^ Including Martín Vizcarra at 3.3%, Pedro Castillo at 3.3%, Arturo Fernández at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7%, Alberto Fujimori at 0.7%, Ulises Villegas at 0.7%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  10. ^ Including Yonhy Lescano at 3.2%, Daniel Urresti at 1.3%, Fernando Cillóniz at 1.2%, Julio Guzmán at 0.8%, Susel Paredes at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  11. ^ Including Pedro Castillo at 4.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.1%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7%, Alberto Fujimori at 0.4% and Roberto Chiabra at 0.4%
  12. ^ Including Pedro Castillo at 1.9%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.8%, Carlos Añaños at 0.3% and Carlos Álvarez at 0.1%
  13. ^ Including Pedro Castillo at 2.2% and Álvaro Paz de la Barra at 1.6%
  14. ^ Including Pedro Castillo at 2.1%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.2%, Daniel Urresti at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.5%, Cecilia García at 0.4%, Ricardo Belmont at 0.4%, César Acuña at 0.3%, George Forsyth at 0.1% and Ollanta Humala at 0.1%
  15. ^ a b c Undecided and/or abstainers excluded

References

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  1. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Ipsos - América Televisión" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  2. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Julio 2025" (PDF). CPI. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 27 July 2025.
  3. ^ "DINA BOLUARTE REGISTRA 1.3% DE APROBACIÓN, SEGÚN ENCUESTA DE CIT PERÚ". Panamericana Televisión. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  4. ^ "Pienso, Luego Voto. Ipsos: Al 50% de los electores no le convence ningún candidato". Perú21. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  5. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Mayo 2025" (PDF). CPI. 25 May 2025. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  6. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural Elecciones Presidenciales – Mayo 2025". CIT Perú. 11 May 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  7. ^ "Encuesta Ipsos: ¿Quiénes lideran las preferencias electorales para el 2026?". Perú21. 20 April 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  8. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural Elecciones Presidenciales – Marzo 2025". CIT Perú. 1 April 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  9. ^ "Encuesta Perú 21 -Ipsos: ¿Cómo votarían los peruanos si las elecciones fueran mañana?" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 27 January 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  10. ^ "Encuesta Ipsos-Perú21: Cuatro posibles candidatos lideran las preferencias para el 2026". Ipsos. 28 October 2024. Archived from the original on 2024-11-16. Retrieved 2025-05-16.
  11. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Julio 2024" (PDF). CPI. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  12. ^ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  13. ^ "Encuesta privada de Ipsos para la consultora 50+1". X. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  14. ^ "IEP Informe de opinión de marzo 2024 - (informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  15. ^ "Estudio de Opinión pública Febrero 2023" (PDF). sensor.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  16. ^ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Diciembre 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  17. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional Perú Urbano Rural Campo: 13 al 18 de noviembre de 2023" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  18. ^ "Peru, CPI Poll: Presidential election (open question)" (PDF).
  19. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental de Junio". citopinion.pe. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  20. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 23 al 28 de abril de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 7 May 2023.
  21. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental". citopinion.pe. 28 April 2023. Retrieved 17 May 2023.
  22. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 07 al 10 de marzo de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 14 March 2023.
  23. ^ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Febrero 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. 26 February 2023.
  24. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental – CIT Opinion" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  25. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 24 al 27 de enero 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 30 January 2023.
  26. ^ Pereda, David (29 January 2023). "Un 73% del país: Que elecciones generales sean este mismo año". La Republica (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 January 2023.
  27. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental – CIT Opinion" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  28. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 16 al 20 de Noviembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 24 November 2022.
  29. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 05 al 08 de septiembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 8 September 2022.
  30. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 3 al 10 de agosto de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 12 August 2022.
  31. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 28 de junio al 2 de julio 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 6 July 2022.
  32. ^ "Estudio de Opinión Ipsos - América Televisión" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  33. ^ "Encuesta CIT sobre Intención de Voto 2026". CIT. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  34. ^ "Encuesta Ipsos: ¿Quiénes lideran las preferencias electorales para el 2026?". Perú21. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  35. ^ "Tendencias Electorales a 15 Meses" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  36. ^ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
  37. ^ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  38. ^ "Estudio De Opinión Informe De Resultados Noviembre, 2023" (PDF). Ipsos (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  39. ^ citopinion (July 2023). "Estudio de Opinión Pública - Popularidad + Coyuntura - Julio 2023" (PDF). Datum (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  40. ^ citopinion (2023-03-28). "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". CIT Opinión (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-13.
  41. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 24 February 2023.
  42. ^ "Informe de Resultados. Estudio de opinión para América Televisión. Perú, 10 de febrero de 2023" (PDF). Ipsos (in Spanish). 28 February 2023.
  43. ^ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 26 January 2023.