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Pazifische Taifunsaison 2010

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Vorlage:Infobox hurricane season

The 2010 Pacific typhoon season is an ongoing event in which tropical cyclones form in the Western Pacific Ocean. The season will run throughout 2010 with most tropical cyclones forming between May and November. The scope of this article is limited to the Pacific Ocean to the north of the equator between 100th meridian east and the 180th meridian. Within the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, there are two separate agencies who assign names to tropical cyclones which can often result in a cyclone having two names. The Japan Meteorological Agency will name a tropical cyclone should it be judged to have 10-minute sustained windspeeds of at least 65 km/h, (40 mph) anywhere in the basin. Whilst the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration assigns names to tropical cyclones which move into or form as a tropical depression in their area of responsibility located between 135°E and 115°E and between 5°E-25°E even if the cyclone has had a name assigned to it by the Japan Meteorological Agency. Tropical depressions that are monitored by the United States' Joint Typhoon Warning Center are given a number with a "W" suffix.

Vorlage:Clear

Seasonal forecasts

Source Date Total
TCs 		Tropical
storms 		Typhoons
GCACIC Average (1950–2000)[1] 31 27 17
TSR Average(1965–2009)[2]  – 27 17
TSR March 16, 2010[2]  – 24 15
GCACIC April 26, 2010[1] 28 24 16
TSR May 5, 2010[3]  – 24 15
GCACIC June 24, 2010[4] 27 23 15
CWB June 30, 2010[5]  – 20–23  –
TSR July 6, 2010[6]  – 23 14
JMA Actual activity 4 1 0
JTWC Actual activity 3 2 0

Each season several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many tropical cyclones, tropical storms, and typhoons will form during a season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect their respective country.

City University of Hong Kong

Since the 2000 typhoon season, the Laboratory for Atmospheric Research or the Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Centre, both of the City University of Hong Kong (CUHK), have issued forecasts of activity for each upcoming typhoon season.[1] Forecasts are issued in April and June of each year and predict how many tropical cyclones, tropical storms, and typhoons there will be in a season. For 2010 the GCACIC predicted a below-average season.[1] In its April 2010 forecast; GCACIC predicted that 28 tropical cyclones, 24 tropical storms, and 16 typhoons would form in the western north Pacific this year.[1] However in its June forecast the GCACIC reported that they now only expected 27 tropical cyclones, 23 tropical storms, and 15 typhoons, to form during the season.[4]

For the first time the GCACIC issued a forecast in May, in which they predicted how many tropical cyclones would make landfall in South China, and the Korean-Japan area.[7] For the Korean-Japan area the GCACIC forecast that six tropical cyclones would pass within 100 km (60 mi) of either the Korean Peninsula or Japan compared to an average of four tropical cyclones.[7] Whilst for southern China they predicted that six tropical cyclones would make landfall on Southern China during 2010 compared to an average of five.[7] Further they predicted that four of the six tropical cyclones would make landfall between May and August, whilst two would make landfall between September and December.[7]

Tropical Storm Risk Consortium

Since the 2000 typhoon season, the Tropical Storm Risk Consortium (TSR) of the University College of London have issued forecasts of activity for each upcoming typhoon season. During 2010 forecasts were issued in early March, May, July and August and predict how many tropical storms, typhoons and intense typhoons there will be during a season.[nb 1][2] In both its March and May forecasts, TSR predicted that their would be 24 tropical storms and 15 typhoons.[2][3] They also predicted in its March forecast that their would be eight intense typhoons, however in their May forecast they predicted that their would be a further intense typhoon.[2][3] In their July forecast, TSR reported that they now only predicted that 23 tropical storms would form, of which 14 would intensify into typhoons and seven would become intense typhoons.[6]

National meteorological service predictions

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) reported on January 7 that they were expecting a total of 19 tropical cyclones to pass through the Philippine area of responsibility during 2010.[8] On March 23 the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), predicted that less than 6 tropical cyclones would affect Hong Kong during the season.[9] As a result of being under the influence of a weakening El Niño, the HKO also predicted that the chances of a tropical cyclone affecting Hong Kong before June was not high.[9] After Vietnam was hit by Tropical Depression 01W in January, the Vietnamese National Center for Hydro Meteorological forecasts predicted in May that 6-7 tropical cyclones would affect Vietnam during 2010.[10] Whilst the Thai Meteorological Department predicted that one or two tropical cyclones would pass through Vietnam and affect Thailand between August and November.[11] On June 30, the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan predicted that the 2010 season would be below its normal climatic average of 26.6, and predicted that 20-23 tropical storms, would occur over the Western Pacific during 2010.[5] The Central Weather Bureau also predicted that of the 20-23 tropical storms forecast 2-4 of them would affect Taiwan.[5] After the slow start to the season, PAGASA released a new prediction on July 5 stating that they now only expected 13-15 tropical cyclones to pass through the region.[12]

Vorlage:Clear

Season Summary

Storms

Tropical Depression 01W

Vorlage:Infobox Hurricane Small

Early on January 18 the JMA reported that a tropical depression had formed within the northeast monsoon about 320 km (200 mi) to the north-west of Bandar Seri Begawan in Brunei.[13] The depression's low level circulation center was partially exposed and located within an area of moderate to strong vertical wind shear.[14] However over the next 12 hours, whilst the depression moved towards Vietnam, the low level circulation center rapidly consolidated and became well defined after the vertical wind shear around the system relaxed.[15] As a result of this the JTWC initiated advisories on the depression, designating it as Tropical Depression 01W.[15] During the next day, the depression weakened with the low level circulation center becoming partially exposed, as it moved over an area of cold sea surface temperatures.[16][17] As a result of this the JTWC issued their final advisory on the system later that day.[18] The depression then made landfall on Vietnam near Vũng Tàu early on January 20 before the JMA then issued their final advisory later that day as the system dissipated over Cambodia.[19][20][21]

Within Vietnam strong waves caused by the tropical depression caused 3 people to die, while rowing their coracles to find shelter.[22] 68 boats were also destroyed as the depressions wind speed changed direction.[22]

Vorlage:Clear

Tropical Storm Omais (Agaton)

Vorlage:Infobox Hurricane Small

On March 18, the JTWC reported that an area of deep atmospheric convection had persisted about 325 km (200 mi) to the southeast of Chuuk Island in southern Micronesia.[23] At this stage the poorly organised deep convection was located over a low level circulation center and was in an area of low wind shear.[23] Over the next couple of days both the low level circulation center and the deep convection gradually became better organized, prompting the issuance of a tropical cyclone formation alert late on March 20.[24][25][26] During the next day convection continued to build over the low level circulation center, which became well defined whilst moving around the subtropical ridge.[27] The JTWC then initiated advisories on the system later that day, designating it as Tropical Depression 02W, although the JMA did not designate the system as a tropical depression until early on March 22.[27] During March 22 further development of the system was hampered by an anticyclone to the east of the system that caused moderate to strong wind shear.[28][29] Early of the next day, JTWC upgraded the depression into a tropical storm, and on 24 March JMA upgraded it to Tropical Storm Omais, the first of the season. Late on March 25, the JTWC downgraded Omais to tropical depression strength. Tropical Depression Omais re-gained tropical storm status late on March 26 as it was becoming extratropical.[30] Vorlage:Clear

Tropical Depression

Vorlage:Infobox Hurricane Small On April 24, an area of low pressure had been formed about 140 km (85 mi) to the west of Palau Island .[31] On the next day, the disturbance start to move westward. On the same time, the disturbance suddenly strengthened and its LLCC began to consolidate as well as significant banding all over the system and located over moderate vertical wind shear. Early of April 26, the disturbance rapidly strengthen again and was starting to be enhanced by a Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) cell to the northeast of the system, whilst the JMA upgraded it into a tropical depression. Later that day, the depression made landfall over Davao City and Surigao del Sur boundary and crossed central Mindanao. Early on April 27, JMA downgraded the depression into an area of low pressure while it was located in vicinity of Sulu Island. In the next couple of days the low pressure start to move northwest towards South China Sea. On the same time, the low pressure crossed Palawan Island on the afternoon of April 29. On the next day, the low pressure was located about 415 km (260 mi) from Manila. In the evening of that day, the low pressure was last seen in vicinity of the Zambales area and was absorbed by a frontal system.[32][33]

The depression brought torrential rains to Mindanao causing slight floods in the area. No casualties were reported. When the depression reached Sulu, it was downgraded to a low pressure sysyem. However, it still caused heavy rains in Eastern Visayas, Southern Luzon and Manila.[34] Vorlage:Clear

Tropical Depression

Vorlage:Infobox Hurricane Small Early on June 2, the JMA reported that a low pressure area had formed over Hainan island. Over the next 24 hours the low pressure area moved to the east before late the next day the JMA reported that the system had intensified into a tropical depression whilst located about 600 km (370 miles) to the northeast of Manila, Philippines. On June 6, the JMA stopped monitoring the depression.Vorlage:Citation needed Vorlage:Clear

Tropical Depression 03W (Basyang)

Vorlage:Infobox Hurricane Small

Late on July 9, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), reported that a tropical disturbance had persisted within the vicinity of Yap island.[35] Satellite imagery showed that the disturbance had a weak circulation which was stretching over Yap with disorganized convection.[35] The disturbance was located to the south of an tropical upper tropospheric trough and was in an area of weak vertical windshear.[35] During the next day, deep convection around the disturbance increased whilst a low to mid level circulation center appeared on satellite imagery.[36] Early on July 11, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) started to monitor the disturbance as a low pressure area, before reporting at 0600 UTC that it had intensified into a tropical depression. At the same time as the JMA reported that the disturbance had become a tropical depression, the JTWC issued a tropical cyclone formation alert as the disturbance had consolidated and had multiple convective bands flowing into its low level circulation center. Later that day the JTWC initiated advisories on the tropical disturbance as they reported that it had intensified into Tropical Depression Three-W.

Vorlage:Clear

Storm Names

Within the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, there are two separate agencies who assign names to tropical cyclones which often results in a cyclone having two names. The Japan Meteorological Agency names tropical cyclones should they be judged to have 10-minute sustained windspeeds of 65 km/h, (40 mph), to the north of the equator between the 180° and 100°E. Whilst the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration assigns names to tropical cyclones which move into or form as a tropical depression in their area of responsibility located between 135°E and 115°E and between 5°E-25°E even if the cyclone has had a name assigned to it by the Japan Meteorological Agency. Names in bold are storms that are currently active, and unused names are marked in Vorlage:Tcname unused.

International names

Tropical Cyclones are named from the following lists by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre in Tokyo, Japan, once they reach tropical storm strength.[37] Names are contributed by members of the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee. Each of the 14 nations or territories submitted 10 names, which are used in alphabetical order, by the English name of the country.[38] The first 24 names to be used this season are listed here.

Philippines

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration uses its own naming scheme for tropical cyclones in their area of responsibility. PAGASA assigns names to tropical depressions that form within their area of responsibility and any tropical cyclone that might move into their area of responsibility. Should the list of names for a given year prove to be insufficient, names are taken from an auxiliary list of with the first 10 every year published before the season starts.[39]

Season effects

This table lists all the storms that developed in the western Pacific Ocean to the west of the International Date Line during the 2010 season. It includes their intensity, duration, name, landfalls, deaths, and damages. All damage figures are in 2010 USD. Damages and deaths from a storm include when the storm was a precursor wave or extratropical low. Vorlage:TC stats table start Vorlage:TC stats cyclone Vorlage:TC stats first landfall Vorlage:TC stats impact Vorlage:TC stats cyclone Vorlage:TC stats no landfall Vorlage:TC stats impact Vorlage:TC stats cyclone Vorlage:TC stats first landfall Vorlage:TC stats impact Vorlage:TC stats cyclone Vorlage:TC stats no landfall Vorlage:TC stats impact Vorlage:TC stats cyclone Vorlage:TC stats no landfall Vorlage:TC stats impact Vorlage:TC stats table end}}

See also

Portal: Tropical cyclones – Übersicht zu Wikipedia-Inhalten zum Thema Tropical cyclones

Notes

  1. ↑ According to TSR: An intense typhoon is a typhoon that has 1-minute winds of at least 175 km/h (110 mph)

References

Vorlage:Reflist

Vorlage:Commons category

Vorlage:2010 Pacific typhoon season buttons Vorlage:2010-2019 Pacific typhoon seasons

  1. ↑ a b c d e April 2010 Predictions of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific. In: Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Center. City University of Hong Kong, 26. April 2010, abgerufen am 26. April 2010.
  2. ↑ a b c d e Adam Lea, Mark Saunders: Extended Range Forecast for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2010. ™Tropical Storm Risk Consortium, 16. März 2009, abgerufen am 3. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  3. ↑ a b c Adam Lea, Mark Saunders: May Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2010. ™Tropical Storm Risk Consortium, 5. Mai 2010, abgerufen am 3. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  4. ↑ a b Updated Prediction of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific for 2010. In: Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Center. City University of Hong Kong, 24. Juni 2010, abgerufen am 2. Juli 2010.
  5. ↑ a b c Taiwan expects 2 to 4 typhoons during summer and autumn. In: Central Weather Bureau. E Taiwan News, 30. Juni 2010, abgerufen am 2. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  6. ↑ a b Adam Lea, Mark Saunders: July Forecast Update for Northwest Pacific Typhoon Activity in 2010. ™Tropical Storm Risk Consortium, 5. Mai 2010, abgerufen am 3. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  7. ↑ a b c d Forecasts of the number of tropical cyclones making landfall in South China and (2) the Korea-Japan region in 2010. In: Guy Carpenter Asia-Pacific Climate Impact Center. City University of Hong Kong, abgerufen am 2. Juli 2010.
  8. ↑ PAGASA: 19 storms to enter RP in '10. In: Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. Sunstar Manila, 7. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 7. Januar 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  9. ↑ a b Speech by Dr B Y Lee, Director of the Hong Kong Observatory 2010-03-23. Hong Kong Observatory, 23. März 2010, abgerufen am 2. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  10. ↑ http://www.webcitation.org/5qvRY0Fgs
  11. ↑ http://www.webcitation.org/5qvYTWGSS
  12. ↑ PAGASA: Only 13 to 15 cyclones to pass through RP in 2010. In: Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration. GMA News.TV, 7. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 7. Januar 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  13. ↑ JMA WWJP25 Advisory 2010-01-18 06z. Japan Meteorological Agency, 18. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  14. ↑ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and southern Pacific Ocean 2010-01-18 10z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 18. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  15. ↑ a b JTWC Tropical Cyclone Warning: 2010-01-18 21z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 18. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  16. ↑ JTWC Tropical Cyclone Warning: 2010-01-19 09z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 19. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  17. ↑ Prognostic reasoning for Tropical Depression 01W 2010-01-19 15z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 19. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  18. ↑ JTWC Tropical Cyclone Warning: 2010-01-19 21z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 19. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  19. ↑ JTWC Running Best Track Analysis. In: Joint Typhoon Warning Center. United States Naval Research Laboratory, 18. Januar 2009, abgerufen am 21. Januar 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  20. ↑ JMA WWJP25 Advisory 2010-01-20 06z. Japan Meteorological Agency, 20. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  21. ↑ JMA WWJP25 Advisory 2010-01-20 12z. Japan Meteorological Agency, 20. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 20. Januar 2010.
  22. ↑ a b Three dead in Binh Thuan as tropical depression makes landfall. Sài Gòn Giải Phóng, 21. Januar 2010, abgerufen am 21. Januar 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  23. ↑ a b Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and Southern Pacific Oceans 2010-03-18 06z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 18. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  24. ↑ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and Southern Pacific Oceans 2010-03-19 06z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 19. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  25. ↑ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and Southern Pacific Oceans 2010-03-20 06z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 20. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  26. ↑ Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 2010-03-20 23z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 20. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  27. ↑ a b JTWC Tropical Depression 02W Advisory 1 2010-03-21 18z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 21. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  28. ↑ Prognostic reasoning for Tropical Depression 02W 2010-03-22 03z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 22. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  29. ↑ Prognostic reasoning for Tropical Depression 02W 2010-03-22 15z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 22. März 2010, abgerufen am 22. März 2010.
  30. ↑ Stanko: Tropical Storm Omais Advisory Number 19. National Weather Service, 26. März 2010, abgerufen am 26. März 2010.
  31. ↑ JMA WWJP25 Advisory 2010-04-26 06z. Japan Meteorological Agency, 26. April 2010, abgerufen am 27. April 2010.
  32. ↑ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and southern Pacific Ocean 2010-04-26 0z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 26. April 2010, abgerufen am 27. April 2010.
  33. ↑ http://www.jma.go.jp/en/g3/
  34. ↑ PAGASA WWJP25 Advisory 2010-04-28 12z. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, 29. April 2010, abgerufen am 2. Mai 2010.
  35. ↑ a b c Significant tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and Southern Pacific Oceans 2010-07-09 21z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 9. Juli 2010, abgerufen am 11. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  36. ↑ Significant tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and Southern Pacific Oceans 2010-07-10 21z. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, 10. Juli 2010, abgerufen am 11. Juli 2010. Fehler beim Aufruf der Vorlage:Cite web: Archiv im Parameter URL erkannt. Archive müssen im Parameter Archiv-URL angegeben werden.
  37. ↑ Gary Padgett: Monthly Tropical Cyclone summary December 1999. Australian Severe Weather, abgerufen am 20. April 2008.
  38. ↑ Tropical Cyclone names. JMA, abgerufen am 20. April 2008.
  39. ↑ Philippine Tropical cyclone names. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, abgerufen am 20. April 2008.
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