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Präsidentschaftswahl in Kroatien 2009/10

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Vorlage:Infobox Election Vorlage:Politics of Croatia The fifth presidential elections in Croatia will take place on Sunday, December 27, 2009[1]. A second round, if the conditions for it are met, will be held on Sunday, January 10, 2010.

Background and rules

After serving two consecutive five-year terms, the incumbent president Stjepan Mesić will not be eligible to run in the 2009 election.

The elections have officially begun on 4 November, with the start of the period for the collecting of signatures needed to become an official candidate.[2] Each candidate had 12 days to collect 10,000 written signatures from citizens who are eligible to vote. After the 12 days expired, the signatures were verified and on November 18 the State Electoral Commission announced the 12 candidates that managed to collect the necessary amount of signatures. The next day the official 37-day campaign began and will last until 24 hours before Election Day, which happens to be Christmas Day, midnight.

The first round will then be held on 27 December and, if no candidate obtains 50% + 1 vote, a second round will be held on 10 January 2010.[1]

Each candidate can withdraw from the election at any time.

Mainstream political candidates

Most major political parties have nominated their candidates for president. The governing Croatian Democratic Union nominated Andrija Hebrang, a former vice-president of the Croatian government and former Minister of Health and Social Services.[3] The main opposition party SDP held a primary on 12 July between Ljubo Jurčić, the former Minister of the Economy, Labour and Entrepreneurship and Ivo Josipović, a Professor of Law at the University of Zagreb, a lecturer at the Zagreb Musical Academy and an SDP MP. Ivo Josipović won 64.78% of the vote and became the official candidate of the social democrats.[4] The Croatian People's Party - Liberal Democrats nominated Vesna Pusić, the head of the parliamentary committee in charge of overseeing the negotiation process of Croatia and the European Union.[5] The Istrian Democratic Assembly nominated Damir Kajin, their long time representative in the Croatian Parliament.[6]

The major independent candidates are Nadan Vidošević, the president of the Croatian Economic Chamber,[7] Milan Bandić, mayor of Zagreb,[8] Vesna Škare Ožbolt, former Minister of Justice[9] and Dragan Primorac, former Minister of Education.[10]

Political party candidates were selected within party elections, or were elected by party bodies, and they are the only party's official candidates. All parliamentary parties have a policy to support only one candidate, and if their member announces an independent nomination, he or she automatically loses their party membership. Parliamentary parties that don't candidate their member for the president, usually publically support someone. These parties can be listed on the electoral list for the president, but sometimes their support is just a public endorsement. Regional-right wing HDSSB supported independent candidate Milan Bandić, and regional-centrist PGS supported independent Nadan Vidošević.

Independent candidates Nadan Vidošević and Dragan Primorac were expelled from HDZ for announcing their nomination.[11]. On November 5 Milan Bandić announced his nomination and was automatically expelled from SDP, losing his position as a member of party's presidency and leader of the Zagreb branch of SDP.[12]

After the election, the Constitution does not allow the President to be a member of any political party[13] so he or she must resign from membership, if there is one.

Running candidates

Out of 19 persons who submitted signatures to the State Electoral Commission, 13 of them were regular, but one of them withdrew. The following people will run for Sunday, December 27, 2009 presidential elections.

Candidates that withdrew

Candidates who failed to collect 10,000 signatures

  • Stjepan Gnječ, representing the Economy Party (Gospodarska stranka) [40] submitted 33,060 blank signature forms.
  • Sead Hasanović (also known as Braco Cigan from Željko Malnar's TV-show Nightmare Stage) - independent [41] - received around 6,000 signatures.
  • Perica Jurič[42] - independent (former co-founder of HDZ[43])
  • Mladen Nakić[44] - independent (former officer of the Ministry of Defense (odjel Hrvatskog verifikacijskog središta) and former diplomat)
  • Filip Šundov[45] - independent, chef
  • Ante Gotovac - socialite, TV personality and businessman.[46]
  • Stjepan Kravarščan submitted only one signature to the electoral commission on November 13 and failing to ensure an official candidature.[47]
  • Slobodan Midžić submitted no signatures to the electoral commission saying that he is seeks to represent a president of the SFR Yugoslavia for the election of the president of the European Union.[47] Madžić failed to nominate for 2007 parliamentary elections since his electoral list held the name of League of Communists of Yugoslavia, the party that does not exist.[48]
  • Zahir Kurbašić - was nominated by the Women's Democratic Party[49] but failed to ensure an official candidature.
  • Jurica Tucak - was the second person who came before electoral commission without signatures.[50]

The campaign

Unofficial

Round table discussion with the candidates. From left to right: Damir Kajin, Nadan Vidošević, Ivo Josipović, Andrija Hebrang, Vesna Pusić

Although officially the campaign started on 19 November, in reality it began as early as the Summer of 2009. The main political parties had not yet announced their nominees for president, although certain high-ranking politicians expressed their interest in running. Immediately after the 2009 local elections and Milan Bandić's landslide victory in Zagreb as a candidate of the social democrats, there was much talk of his potential candidacy for president. Before the election many influential members of SDP urged Zoran Milanović, the president of the party, to solve the 'Bandić problem'. They referred to many of his corruption and malversation allegations during his tenure as the mayor of Zagreb urging Milanović to nominate someone else.[51] However, Milanović refused and publicly supported Milan Bandić in the campaign[52] despite an open letter signed by many prominent left-wing intellectuals insulting Bandić and endorsing Josip Kregar.[53] On 20 June Milanović chose Ivo Josipović and Ljubo Jurčić as candidates for the SDP nomination. The presidency accepted the two candidates and allowed other candidates to submit, however Milan Bandić refused.[54] On 12 July a primary was held between the two social democrats and Ivo Josipović won with 64.78% of the vote from tens of thousands party members.[55] However, the 'Bandić problem' escalated in the coming months as the media continued to speculate about his potential candidacy. Bandić was traveling throughout Croatia with the press following his every step regulary asking him if he would run for the presidency. He consistently refused to comment drawing more and more media attention with his indecisiveness.[56] Finally, the drama was concluded when he officially announced his candidacy for president in a speech on 5 November on Sljeme criticizing Zoran Milanović and his former party for turning against him saying that he was one of the founders of SDP emphasizing that he stood with the party through the good and the bad times.[57]

The governing HDZ also saw great drama in selecting their candidate for president. Ever since late 2008, there was much speculation that prime minister Ivo Sanader would run for the presidency, although he frequently denied such speculation.[58] After the local elections, the speculation grew as no other candidates publicly hinted they would run. However, Ivo Sanader unexpectedly decided not only to not run for the presidency, but to resign as prime minister and retire from active politics altogether, announcing his decision on 1 July 2009.[59] He nominated Andrija Hebrang as the party's nominee for president, a decision that was backed by the party's presidency not to soon later.[60] Ivo Sanader wasn't the only member of the cabinet to resign as Minister of Education Dragan Primorac also announced his retirement on the very same day as the prime minister. There was much speculation that Primorac resigned as he wasn't his party's candidate for president and that he resigned so he could run as an independent. The speculation proved to be true and Primorac announced his candidacy on 9 November 2009.[61] The other member of HDZ to announce his candidacy was Nadan Vidošević, a prominent businessman. He announced his bid on 2 September and was expelled from his party soon after that.[62]

Official

The official campaign began on 19 November as the country's electoral commission announced the 12 candidates eligible to run. Andrija Hebrang collected more signatures than any other candidate with over 140,000, Ivo Josipović was second with just under 120,000, Milan Bandić collected around 60,000, Vesna Pusić just under 50,000, while Dragan Primorac and Nadan Vidošević each collected over 30,000 signatures. Josipović based his campaign on the slogan 'Justice for Croatia' and kicked off his campaign with a rally in front of the Croatian National Theatre in Zagreb. He insulted the current Croatian government and the prime minister Jadranka Kosor for ignoring the needs of the little man and criticized her for not dealing with corruption. Andrija Hebrang started the campaign with patriotic rhetoric with the slogan 'For a proud and European Croatia'. He praised Jadranka Kosor and her policies, mostly criticizing Dragan Primorac and Nadan Vidošević for abandoning their party, calling them deserters and traitors. Nadan Vidošević used his knowledge of economic issues to gain popularity during the recession.

There were two televised debates held with two more planned. The first was held on 20 November on HRT with 10 candidates present. The second was held on 10 December on Nova TV hosted by Mislav Bago. Five candidates were present, Ivo Josipović, Nadan Vidošević, Andrija Hebrang, Dragan Primorac and Vesna Pusić. Milan Bandić refused to attend. The main issues were the fight against corruption, the economy and the European Union. A poll conducted after the debate showed Vesna Pusić did best, with Ivo Josipović coming in second.

Opinion polls

First round

Date(s) Conducted Polling Organisation/Client Ivo Josipović Milan Bandić Nadan Vidošević Andrija Hebrang Vesna Pusić Dragan Primorac Vesna Škare Ožbolt Damir Kajin Josip Jurčević Miroslav Tuđman Boris Mikšić Slavko Vukšić Undecided/none
14 Dec Puls for SDP 29.6% 11.8% 14.3% 7.1% 8.2% 10.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.2% 10%
9 Dec Puls for SDP 30.4% 13% 12% 8.7% 5.1% 9.8% 2% 4.1% 2.4% 2% 0.2% 0.1% 10%
9 Dec Promocija Plus for HDZ 30% 13% 12% 11% N/A 8% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 Dec CRO Demoskop and Promocija plus 26.2% 16.2% 15.3% 7.8% 7% 8.6% 1.7% 3.4% 1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 10.4%
30 Nov Puls for Nova TV 25.3% 16.6% 16% 7.9% 5.8% 5.1% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% 9.5%
28 Nov Puls for Večernji list and RTL Televizija 29.2% 15.6% 13.2% 7.7% 4.8% 8.5% 2.6% 3.2% 1.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.5% 9.4%
25 Nov Totus Opiniometar 16.1% 7.2% 13.8% 3.1% 2.5% 4.7% 0.6% 1.6% 1% 0.6% N/A N/A 33%
19 Nov Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 27.6% 15.4% 12.7% 8.4% 6.0% 8.1% N/A 2.2% N/A 1.2% 1.1% N/A N/A
17 Nov Puls for T-Portal 28.1% 15.8% 14.4% 12.2% 7.2% 5.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% N/A 11.4%
17 Nov Puls for Nova TV 26.4% 15.7% 14.9% 11.6% 8.6% 6.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14.5%
4 Nov CRO Demoskop 24.9% 14.5% 13.4% 9.4% 8.6% <4% <4% <4% N/A N/A N/A N/A 13.3%
4 Nov Totus Opiniometar 17.2% 9.7% 14.6% 5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 1.6% 0.7% 1.1% N/A N/A 43.6%
31 Oct GfK for Jutarnji list 17.1% 15.2% 11.9% 9% 4.4% 3.9% 1.5% 3.5% N/A 0.6% 0.6% N/A 45%
31 Oct Puls for Nova TV 24.6% 17.6% 13.1% 11% 6.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9.1%
28 Oct Puls for T-Portal 28.5% 13.6% 12.7% 10.7% 7.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.3% 2.3% 1.6% N/A N/A 10.5%
18 Oct Puls for Večernji list 26.6% 11.3% 10.8% 8% 9.2% 4.4% 5.9% 5% 1.3% 0.8% 1% N/A 10.5%
18 Sep Mediana for Jutarnji list 21.1% 14.7% 15% 8.3% 11% 3.3% N/A 4.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 Sep Sinergie for SDP 26.4% 6.7% 13% 7.1% 4.4% N/A 4.2% 3.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Sep Puls for Nova TV 32.9% N/A 12.8% 7.3% 9.7% N/A N/A 6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 Aug Promocija plus for SDP 25% 10.5% 10.5% 12% 9.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.5%
24 Aug Hendal for Tportal 25.8% 10% 9.3% 4% 7.5% 1.3% N/A 3.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% N/A 31.3%
3 Aug CRO Demoskop 22.1% N/A 14.1% 11.1% 11.8% N/A N/A 4.8% 6.3% 2% N/A N/A 15.8%

Hypothetical second round match-ups

Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV[63] 		19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides

for Jutarnji list[64]

28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija
and Večernji list[65]
  Ivo Josipović SDP 54% 47.4% 55%
  Milan Bandić Independent 42% 36.1% 35%
Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV[63] 		19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides

for Jutarnji list[64]

28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija
and Večernji list[65]
  Ivo Josipović SDP 51% 45.7% 51%
  Nadan Vidošević Independent 41% 34.2% 35%
Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV[63] 		28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija
and Večernji list[65]
  Ivo Josipović SDP 63% 67%
  Andrija Hebrang HDZ 30% 22%
Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV[63] 		19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides

for Jutarnji list[64]

28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija
and Večernji list[65]
  Nadan Vidošević Independent 52% 42.8% 47%
  Milan Bandić Independent 39% 21% 38%
Candidate Party 19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides

for Jutarnji list[64]

  Milan Bandić Independent 53.5%
  Andrija Hebrang HDZ 19.5%

References

Vorlage:Cleanup-link rot Vorlage:Reflist

Vorlage:Croatian elections

  1. ↑ a b Prvi krug predsjedničkih izbora u Hrvatskoj održat će se 27. prosinca. In: Večernji list. 30. Oktober 2009, abgerufen am 28. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  2. ↑ Počeli teći rokovi za predsjedničke izbore. In: metro-portal.hr. 5. November 2009, abgerufen am 28. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  3. ↑ Andrija Hebrang predsjednički kandidat HDZ-a. In: Metro-portal.hr. 29. Juli 2009, abgerufen am 28. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  4. ↑ Net.hr, 2009-07-12, "SDP odabrao: Ivu za predsjednika!"
  5. ↑ Javno.hr, 2009-09-26, "Hvala mojoj stranci što me kandidirala"
  6. ↑ GradPula.com, 2009-07-12, "Damir Kajin kandidat IDS za predsjednika Republike"
  7. ↑ http://jutarnji.hr/vijesti/clanak/art-2009,9,2,,174864.jl
  8. ↑ Net.hr, 2009-11-03, "Ljudi, Bandić konačno objavljuje kandidaturu!"
  9. ↑ http://www.libela.org/vijesti/816-i-vesna-skare-ozbolt-u-utrci-za-pantovcak/
  10. ↑ http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/index-doznaje-dragan-primorac-krenuo-u-predsjednicku-utrku-za-pantovcak/449844.aspx
  11. ↑ http://www.r-1.hr/nadan_vido%C5%A1evic_izbacen_iz_hdz_a/29819_4
  12. ↑ http://www.vecernji.hr/vijesti/bandic-izbacen-sdp-a-sljemenu-objavio-kandidaturu-clanak-45342
  13. ↑ The Constitution of the Republic of Croatia. Constitutional Court of the Republic of Croatia, abgerufen am 29. November 2009.
  14. ↑ http://www.net.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/page/2009/11/13/0320006.html
  15. ↑ http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/43735/Bandic-dobio-potporu-Glavaseva-HDSSB-a.html
  16. ↑ a b http://www.jutarnji.hr/josipovic-skupio-117--tisuca--a-hebrang-cak-140-tisuca-potpisa/353732/
  17. ↑ http://www.savjest.com/vijesti1.php?s_vjest_id=801
  18. ↑ http://m.dnevnik.hr/?article_id=105484
  19. ↑ http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/politika/hsp-na-kraju-ipak-za-dragana-primorca!%3F,61376.html
  20. ↑ http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/politika/vesna-pusic-pobijedit-cu-u-drugom-krugu,61162.html
  21. ↑ http://metro-portal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/predsjednicki-izbori/i-vesna-skare-ozbolt-predala-potpise-dip-u
  22. ↑ http://www.nacional.hr/clanak/71475/vidosevic-predao-dip-u-kandidaturu-za-predsjednika-republike-s-31000-potpisa
  23. ↑ http://www.net.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/page/2009/11/17/0361006.html?pos=n1
  24. ↑ http://josip-jurcevic.net/kampanja/
  25. ↑ http://www.borismiksic.net/files2/Kandidatura.pdf
  26. ↑ http://ns1.vjesnik.com/Html/2005/01/05/Clanak.asp?r=sta&c=1
  27. ↑ http://www.miroslav-tudjman.com
  28. ↑ http://slavkovuksic.com/
  29. ↑ http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/40597/Prvi-i-jedini-manjinski-predsjednicki-kandidat.html
  30. ↑ Glas Istre Denis Latin kandidat za predsjednika države, June 23, 2009,.
  31. ↑ Vijesti Denis Latin odustao od kandidature za predsjednika, Sep 11, 2009
  32. ↑ http://www.bozidarvukasovic.eu
  33. ↑ http://bozidarvukasovic.eu/zato-boidar-vukasovi.html
  34. ↑ http://www.nacionalnidemokrati.com/clanak.php?id=20090607123256
  35. ↑ http://www.nacionalnidemokrati.com/index.php?cat=302
  36. ↑ http://metro-portal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/predsjednicki-izbori/predano-19-kandidatura-za-predsjednika-hrvatske/
  37. ↑ Alka: Spasimo Hrvatsku od svodnika. Croatian Radiotelevision, 5. November 2009, abgerufen am 28. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  38. ↑ http://www.vecernji.hr/lifestyle/zbog-ukradenih-glasova-necu-predati-svoju-kandidaturu-predsjednicu-clanak-51624
  39. ↑ http://www.net.hr/zvijezde/page/2009/11/16/0706006.html
  40. ↑ eZadar Stjepan Gnječ najavio kandidaturu za predsjednika RH, Oct 11, 2009
  41. ↑ eZadar Utrka za Pantovčak: Kandidirao se i Braco Cigan!, Oct 1, 2009
  42. ↑ Perica Jurič, predsjednički kandidat. In: Pericajuric.com. Abgerufen am 29. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  43. ↑ http://www.javno.com/hr-hrvatska/dosta-sam-sutio-kandidirat-cu-se-za-predsjednika_269602
  44. ↑ http://www.hnd.hr/hr/raspored/
  45. ↑ http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/41141/Lovac-na-grdelinec-predsjednik-bez-place.html
  46. ↑ http://www.ante-gotovac.com/
  47. ↑ a b http://www.24sata.hr/news/donio-samo-jedan-potpis-nije-ga-podrzala-niti-zena/145036/
  48. ↑ http://www.javno.com/hr-hrvatska/foto--izbori-bez-saveza-komunista_94771
  49. ↑ http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/39330/Demokratska-stranka-zena-kandidirala-muskarca.html
  50. ↑ http://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index.php?yyyy=2009&mm=11&dd=17&nav_category=167&nav_id=393129
  51. ↑ Bandic and Milanovic fighting it out for Zagreb. In: Nacional. 21. April 2008, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (englisch).
  52. ↑ Milanović: Došao sam kao podrška. In: Javno.hr. 21. April 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  53. ↑ Otvoreno pismo: Milanović izdao socijaldemokraciju. In: H-alter.org. 9. Juli 2008, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  54. ↑ Jurčić ili Josipović? In: RTL Televizija. 20. Juni 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  55. ↑ Ivo Josipovic is SDP Party Presidential Candidate. In: Javno.hr. 12. Juli 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (englisch).
  56. ↑ Bandić malo hoće pa neće u predsjedničku utrku. In: T-portal.hr. 11. September 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  57. ↑ Kao Feniks se dižem i kandidiram. In: Javno.com. 5. November 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  58. ↑ Bitka za predsjednika u trolistu Sanader-Čačić-Jurčić? In: Nacional. 2. März 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (kroatisch).
  59. ↑ Croatia's PM Sanader resigns, quits politics. In: Reuters. 1. Juli 2009, abgerufen am 14. Dezember 2009 (englisch).
  60. ↑ Andrija Hebrang predsjednički kandidat HDZ-a. In: Metro-portal.hr. 29. Juli 2009, abgerufen am 28. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  61. ↑ http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/index-doznaje-dragan-primorac-krenuo-u-predsjednicku-utrku-za-pantovcak/449844.aspx
  62. ↑ http://jutarnji.hr/vijesti/clanak/art-2009,9,2,,174864.jl
  63. ↑ a b c d http://izbori.dnevnik.hr/clanak/vijesti/doznajte-tko-bi-bio-predsjednik-da-je-danas-drugi-krug.html
  64. ↑ a b c d Veliko istraživanje Jutarnjeg: za koga će Hrvati glasati. In: Jutarnji list. Abgerufen am 29. November 2009 (kroatisch).
  65. ↑ a b c d Prva velika anketa: Josipović u vodstvu. In: Rtl.hr. RTL Televizija, 28. November 2009, abgerufen am 29. November 2009 (kroatisch).
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