Atlantische Hurrikansaison 2019
Vorlage:Infobox hurricane season
The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing event in the annual formation of tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere. The season will officially begin on June 1, 2019, and end on November 30, 2019. These dates historically describe the period each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin and are adopted by convention. However, tropical cyclogenesis is possible at any time of the year.
Seasonal forecasts
| Source | Date | Named storms |
Hurricanes | Major hurricanes | |
| Average (1981–2010[1]) | 12.1 | 6.4 | 2.7 | ||
| Record high activity | 28 | 15 | 7 | ||
| Record low activity | 4 | 2† | 0† | ||
| TSR[2] | December 11, 2018 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |
| * June–November only. † Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all) | |||||
Ahead of and during the season, several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale) will form during a season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect a particular country. These agencies include the Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Consortium of University College London, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year. Some of these forecasts also take into consideration what happened in previous seasons and the state of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation. On average, an Atlantic hurricane season between 1981 and 2010 contained twelve tropical storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index of between 66 and 103 units.[1]
Pre-season outlooks
The first forecast for the year was released by TSR on December 11, 2018, which predicted a slightly below-average season in 2019, with a total of 12 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes, due to the anticipated presence of El Niño conditions during the season.[2]
Storm names
The following list of names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2019. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the spring of 2020. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2025 season. This is the same list used in the 2013 season, with the exception of the name Imelda, which replaced Ingrid.
Season effects
This is a table of all the storms that have formed in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, landfall(s), denoted in parentheses, damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a tropical wave, or a low, and all the damage figures are in USD. Potential tropical cyclones are not included in this table.
See also
- List of Atlantic hurricanes
- List of Atlantic hurricane seasons
- Tropical cyclones in 2019
- 2019 Pacific hurricane season
- 2019 Pacific typhoon season
- 2019 North Indian Ocean cyclone season
- South-West Indian Ocean cyclone seasons: 2018–19, 2019–20
- Australian region cyclone seasons: 2018–19, 2019–20
- South Pacific cyclone seasons: 2018–19, 2019–20
References
External links
- National Hurricane Center Website
- National Hurricane Center's Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Guidance Product
- ↑ a b Background Information: The North Atlantic Hurricane Season. In: Climate Prediction Center. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 9. August 2012, abgerufen am 13. Dezember 2013.
- ↑ a b Mark Saunders, Adam Lea: Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2019. Tropical Storm Risk, 11. Dezember 2018.