Parlamentswahl in der Autonomen Gemeinschaft Madrid 2019

Politische Wahl in Spanien
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Vorlage:Infobox election The 2019 Madrilenian regional election will be held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 132 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. The election will be held simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Madrid was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Community.[1] Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Madrilenians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Vorlage:Lang-es).[2]

All members of the Assembly of Madrid are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. The Assembly is entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.[1][3]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electors registered in the Community of Madrid. Electors are barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[3][4][5]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expires four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Assembly are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 26 May 2019.[1][3][4][5]

The President of the Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Background

On 21 March 2018, it transpired that President Cristina Cifuentes could have obtained a master's degree in the King Juan Carlos University through fraudulent means.[6] What initially started off as mere suspicions that she could have faked her CV,[7] developed into a major scandal after a series of irregularities in the obtaining of the academic title were revealed, as well as the subsequent attempt from both the University and the regional government to cover up the scandal through document forgery.[8][9] Preliminary probing revealed evidence of possible criminal offenses that were subsequently put under investigation of the judiciary, questioning Cifuentes's continuity as regional premier.[10][11][12] After the release of a 2011 video showing her being detained in a supermarket for shoplifting, Cifuentes resigned on 25 April 2018.[13] She was succeeded by her deputy, Ángel Garrido,[14][15] who was sworn into office on 21 May.[16][17] Cifuentes's scandal joined many others in a long list of corruption cases beleaguering the ruling People's Party in Spain that ended up with Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's downfall on 1 June through a vote of no confidence in the Congress of Deputies.[18][19]

On 17 January 2019, Podemos suffered a major split after it was announced that Carmena and Íñigo Errejón, Podemos candidate for President of the Community of Madrid and one of Podemos founders, had agreed to launch a joint platform to run at the regional election.[20][21][22][23] Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias announced later that day that he no longer considered Errejón as the party's candidate in the region for placing himself "outside Podemos" by renouncing the party's trademark, and that Podemos and IU would contest the regional election on their own even if that meant to compete against Más Madrid and, therefore, against Errejón.[24][25] Podemos leaders also urged Errejón to resign his seat in the Congress of Deputies,[26] considering his move as "deceitful" and "a betrayal" to the party.[27] On 21 January, Errejón vacated his seat in the Congress,[28][29] but still called for Podemos, IU and Equo to join the Más Madrid platform.[30] On 25 January, Ramón Espinar, the regional Podemos Secretary-General, announced his resignation and his farewell from politics, allegedly after the party's national leadership deprived Espinar's regional branch of any autonomy to attempt negotiations with Errejón's platform for either running in a joint list or agreeing on a coordinated political action.[31][32][33]

Parties and coalitions

Below is a list of the main parties and coalitions which will contest the election:

Party or alliance Candidate Ideology Status in legislature Refs
Deputies Status
width="1" bgcolor="Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color"| People's Party (PP)  
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
Conservatism
Christian democracy
48 Government
Vorlage:Small
[34]
bgcolor="Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)  
Ángel Gabilondo
Social democracy 37 Opposition [35]
bgcolor="Vorlage:Unidos Podemos/meta/color"| United We Can (Unidas Podemos–IU–eQuo)
Vorlage:Font
 
TBD
Left-wing populism
Democratic socialism
27Vorlage:Efn Opposition [36]
bgcolor="Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) Datei:Ignacio Aguado 2016 (cropped).jpg
Ignacio Aguado
Liberalism 17 Opposition
Vorlage:Small
[37]
bgcolor="Vorlage:Vox (Spanish political party)/meta/color"| Vox (Vox)  
TBD
Right-wing populism 0 Not in parliament
bgcolor="Vorlage:Más Madrid/meta/color"| More Madrid (Ḿ)  
Íñigo Errejón
Participatory democracy
Big tent
0 Not in parliament [20]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 65 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout                   Lead
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Podemos (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:United Left–Madrid/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Vox (Spanish political party)/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Unidos Podemos/meta/color;"| style="background:Vorlage:Más Madrid/meta/color;"|
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[p 1] 30 Jan 2019 ? ? 20.8
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 21.4
Vorlage:Font
9.0
Vorlage:Font
19.2
Vorlage:Font
5.3
Vorlage:Font
8.4
Vorlage:Font
10.5
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.6
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 2][p 3] 17 Jan 2019 500 ? 16.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 25.2
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 17.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 17.9
Vorlage:Font
0.9
Vorlage:Font
4.7
Vorlage:Font
12.5
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.3
Invymark/Telemadrid[p 4] 14–15 Jan 2019 800 70 21.6 Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 22.3 Vorlage:Efn 21.4 Vorlage:Efn 12.2 18.1 style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.7
PP[p 5][p 6] 10 Dec 2018 ? ? ?
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE|?
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn ?
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn ?
Vorlage:Font
?
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"|?
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 7] 9–10 Dec 2018 700 ? 17.0
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 23.2
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 21.1
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 14.4
Vorlage:Font
1.6
Vorlage:Font
18.1
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.1
electoPanel/electomania.es[p 8] 1–8 Nov 2018 700 ? 20.9
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 26.2
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 24.1
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 4.9
Vorlage:Font
0.8
Vorlage:Font
18.3
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.1
SyM Consulting[p 9][p 10] 3–4 May 2018 1,436 65.1 23.4
Vorlage:Font
25.7
Vorlage:Font
15.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 26.1
Vorlage:Font
4.0
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.4
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 11] 26–30 Apr 2018 1,200 ? 20.6
Vorlage:Font
20.7
Vorlage:Font
18.8
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 30.8
Vorlage:Font
4.6
Vorlage:Font
0.8
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 12][p 13] 23–28 Apr 2018 900 62.6 23.9
Vorlage:Font
20.9
Vorlage:Font
16.2
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 25.4
Vorlage:Font
4.4
Vorlage:Font
2.8
Vorlage:Font
3.2
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 1.5
Invymark/laSexta[p 14] 23–27 Apr 2018 ? ? 24.4
Vorlage:Font
24.5
Vorlage:Font
16.5
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 26.9
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.4
GAD3/ABC[p 15] 18–27 Apr 2018 1,061 ? 25.3
Vorlage:Font
25.5
Vorlage:Font
12.9
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 27.6
Vorlage:Font
1.4
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 2.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 16] 24–26 Apr 2018 ? ? 22.6
Vorlage:Font
22.2
Vorlage:Font
16.8
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 30.4
Vorlage:Font
3.6
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.8
Metroscopia/El País[p 17][p 18] 18–25 Apr 2018 2,600 70 17.7
Vorlage:Font
22.5
Vorlage:Font
15.9
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 32.9
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.4
Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es[p 19] 16–19 Apr 2018 600 64.3 24.3
Vorlage:Font
23.9
Vorlage:Font
17.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 25.7
Vorlage:Font
4.7
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 1.4
Cs[p 20][p 21] 6–10 Apr 2018 700 ? 22.3
Vorlage:Font
23.5
Vorlage:Font
17.3
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 26.5
Vorlage:Font
5.5
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 3.0
Equipo MEG/PSOE[p 22][p 23][p 24] 6–10 Apr 2018 1,805 ? 26.3
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/PSOE| 27.5
Vorlage:Font
14.5
Vorlage:Font
26.8
Vorlage:Font
2.2
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.7
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 25] 23–30 Mar 2018 800 ? 23.5
Vorlage:Font
18.8
Vorlage:Font
16.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Party shading/Cs| 28.6
Vorlage:Font
5.1
Vorlage:Font
3.4
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:Citizens (Spanish political party)/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1
SyM Consulting[p 26][p 27] 5–7 Mar 2018 1,408 67.5 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 31.5
Vorlage:Font
25.2
Vorlage:Font
15.8
Vorlage:Font
18.0
Vorlage:Font
4.1
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.3
Equipo MEG/PSOE[p 22][p 23] 5–9 Jan 2018 ? ? Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 31.3
Vorlage:Font
24.9
Vorlage:Font
15.7
Vorlage:Font
19.5
Vorlage:Font
3.9
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 6.4
NC Report/La Razón[p 28][p 29] 26–29 Apr 2017 1,000 59.3 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 35.9
Vorlage:Font
24.6
Vorlage:Font
18.1
Vorlage:Font
13.1
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 10.3
Invymark/La Sexta[p 30] 26–27 Apr 2017 ? ? Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 30.9
Vorlage:Font
25.8
Vorlage:Font
21.3
Vorlage:Font
13.5
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 5.1
Metroscopia/El País[p 31][p 32][p 33] 24–26 Apr 2017 1,200 72 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 25.7
Vorlage:Font
19.7
Vorlage:Font
24.9
Vorlage:Font
22.6
Vorlage:Font
2.1
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 0.8
2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 70.8 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 38.2
Vorlage:Font
19.6
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 17.8
Vorlage:Font
Vorlage:Efn 0.5
Vorlage:Font
1.1
Vorlage:Font
21.3
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 16.9
2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 74.1 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 33.4
Vorlage:Font
17.8
Vorlage:Font
20.9
Vorlage:Font
18.8
Vorlage:Font
5.3
Vorlage:Font
0.6
Vorlage:Font
0.8
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 12.5
2015 regional election 24 May 2015 65.7 Vorlage:Party shading/PP| 33.1
Vorlage:Font
25.4
Vorlage:Font
18.6
Vorlage:Font
12.2
Vorlage:Font
4.2
Vorlage:Font
1.2
Vorlage:Font
1.0
Vorlage:Font
style="background:Vorlage:People's Party of the Community of Madrid/meta/color; color:white;"| 7.7

Notes

Vorlage:Notelist

References

Opinion poll sources

Vorlage:Reflist

Other

Vorlage:Reflist

Vorlage:Community of Madrid elections Vorlage:Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s

  1. a b c d Vorlage:Cite act
  2. Naiara Reig Pellicer: Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote. In: cafebabel.co.uk. 16. Dezember 2015, abgerufen am 17. Juli 2017.
  3. a b c Vorlage:Cite act
  4. a b Vorlage:Cite act
  5. a b Representation of the people Institutional Act. In: juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission, abgerufen am 16. Juni 2017.
  6. Cristina Cifuentes obtuvo su título de máster en una universidad pública con notas falsificadas In: eldiario.es, 21 March 2018. Abgerufen im 29 March 2018 (spanish). 
  7. Cifuentes y otros casos de políticos con 'problemas' con sus currículums In: Público, 21 March 2018. Abgerufen im 6 April 2018 (spanish). 
  8. El acta del máster que exhibió Cifuentes tiene al menos dos firmas falsificadas In: El Confidencial, 4 April 2018. Abgerufen im 5 April 2018 (spanish). 
  9. La presidenta del tribunal denuncia: su firma es falsa y nunca evaluó a Cifuentes In: El Confidencial, 5 April 2018. Abgerufen im 6 April 2018 (spanish). 
  10. Crece la inquietud entre cargos del PP por el 'caso Cifuentes', que ven como un "problema" para Rajoy In: EcoDiario.es, 6 April 2018 (spanish). 
  11. Un sector del PP de Madrid quiere 'sacrificar' a Cifuentes en favor de Casado In: El Boletín, 6 April 2018 (spanish). 
  12. El PP se plantea ya que Cifuentes no vuelva a ser candidata en 2019 In: El País, 7 April 2018 (spanish). 
  13. Madrid leader Cifuentes resigns over supermarket 'theft video' In: BBC News, 25 April 2018 
  14. Pedro Blasco: Ángel Garrido, nombrado presidente en funciones de la Comunidad de Madrid In: Voz Populi, 25 April 2018 (spanisch). 
  15. José Marcos: Ángel Garrido, el sucesor natural de Cifuentes In: El País, 25 April 2018 (spanisch). 
  16. Esther Sánchez: Ángel Garrido jura el cargo como presidente de la Comunidad de Madrid. In: El País. 21. Mai 2018 (elpais.com).
  17. Ángel Garrido toma posesión de su cargo como presidente de la Comunidad de Madrid. Telemadrid, 21. Mai 2018;.
  18. Lo que queda de la España azul del PP In: El País, 1 June 2018. Abgerufen im 25 January 2019 (spanish). 
  19. La condena de la Gürtel, la caída de Rajoy y los másters de Cifuentes y Casado: el año negro del PP In: Público, 25 August 2018. Abgerufen im 25 January 2019 (spanish). 
  20. a b Errejón se desmarca de Podemos y concurrirá con las siglas de Carmena In: La Vanguardia, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  21. Errejón y Carmena pactan un tándem electoral al margen de Podemos e IU In: El Confidencial, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  22. Errejón se alía con Carmena para presentarse con la plataforma Más Madrid a las elecciones autonómicas In: eldiario.es, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  23. Errejón desafía a Iglesias e irá a las elecciones con la marca de Carmena In: eldiario.es, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  24. Iglesias sitúa a Errejón fuera del partido y anuncia que Podemos e IU se presentarán contra él en las autonómicas In: eldiario.es, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  25. Iglesias avisa a Errejón de que Podemos presentará su propia candidatura para la Comunidad de Madrid In: La Vanguardia, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  26. Pablo Echenique, sobre la continuidad de Errejón como diputado: "Yo dimitiría, pero de algo tiene que vivir hasta mayo" In: eldiario.es, 18 January 2019. Abgerufen im 19 January 2019 (spanish). 
  27. Podemos se resiste a echar a Errejón pero le ataca con dureza In: El Periódico de Catalunya, 18 January 2019. Abgerufen im 21 January 2019 (spanish). 
  28. Íñigo Errejón deja su escaño: "Sigo en Podemos, pero hay que abrir el partido a más gente" In: eldiario.es, 21 January 2019 (spanish). 
  29. Iñigo Errejón consuma la ruptura con Podemos y deja de ser diputado In: El Mundo, 21 January 2019 (spanish). 
  30. Errejón llama a Podemos, IU y Equo a sumarse a la plataforma 'Más Madrid' In: eldiario.es, 23 January 2019 (spanish). 
  31. Ramón Espinar abandona la política: dimite como líder de Podemos Madrid, como senador y como diputado regional In: eldiario.es, 25 January 2019 (spanish). 
  32. La crisis en Podemos se lleva por delante a Ramón Espinar, que presenta su dimisión In: El Confidencial, 25 January 2019 (spanish). 
  33. Espinar da un portazo a la dirección de Podemos tras la negativa de ésta a pactar con Errejón In: Público, 25 January 2019 (spanish). 
  34. Casado elige a Díaz Ayuso como candidata a la Comunidad de Madrid y a Martínez-Almeida para la alcaldía In: eldiario.es, 11 January 2019. Abgerufen im 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  35. Ángel Gabilondo proclamado candidato del PSOE a la Presidencia de la Comunidad de Madrid In: El País, 12 June 2018. Abgerufen im 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  36. Iglesias sitúa a Errejón fuera del partido y anuncia que Podemos e IU se presentarán contra él en las autonómicas In: eldiario.es, 17 January 2019 (spanish). 
  37. Ciudadanos apuesta por Villacís y Aguado para las elecciones de 2019 In: El Mundo, 8 October 2018. Abgerufen im 17 January 2019 (spanish). 


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