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Kanadische Unterhauswahl 2019

Wahl
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Vorlage:Infobox election The 43rd Canadian federal election (formally the 43rd Canadian general election) is scheduled to take place on or before October 21, 2019. The October 21 date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date procedures in the Canada Elections Act but the Act does not preclude the Governor General of Canada from issuing the writs of election at an earlier date.[1]

Background

The 2015 federal election resulted in a Liberal majority government headed by Justin Trudeau. The Conservatives became the Official Opposition (with Stephen Harper announcing his resignation as party leader) and the New Democrats (NDP) became the third party. While members of the Bloc Québécois and the Greens were elected to the House, both failed to achieve the required number of MPs for official party status. Bloc leader Gilles Duceppe announced his resignation shortly after the election, and was succeeded by Parti Québécois MNA Martine Ouellet.[2] After losing a leadership review, Ouellet announced she would step down as Bloc leader on June 11, 2018.[3]

Due to Tom Mulcair failing his April 2016 leadership review by garnering only 48% of the delegate vote, the NDP held a leadership election on October 1, 2017, electing Ontario MPP and the former Deputy Leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh as his successor.[4][5]

Electoral reform

In June 2015, Justin Trudeau pledged to reform the electoral system if elected, saying, "We are committed to ensuring that 2015 is the last election held under first-past-the-post."[6][7] As the New Democrats, Bloc, and Greens were all in favour of reform of some kind,[8] it was seen as possible that a different voting system would be in place the next federal election.

A Special Committee on Electoral Reform was formed with representatives from all five parties in the House. The committee's report, Strengthening Democracy in Canada: Principles, Process and Public Engagement for Electoral Reform, was presented in December 2016 and recommended a proportional electoral system be introduced following a national referendum.[9][10] In February 2017, however, the government dropped support for electoral reform, issuing a mandate to newly appointed Minister of Democratic Institutions Karina Gould, saying "A clear preference for a new electoral system, let alone a consensus, has not emerged. ... Changing the electoral system will not be in your mandate."[11]

Current standings

Vorlage:Canadian federal election, 2019

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the House of Commons after the 2015 federal election.

Name Ideology Leader 2015 result Current
seats
Votes (%) Seats
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| Liberal Liberalism
Social liberalism 		Justin Trudeau 39.47% Vorlage:Composition bar Vorlage:Composition bar
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| Conservative Conservatism
Economic liberalism
Fiscal conservatism 		Andrew Scheer 31.89% Vorlage:Composition bar Vorlage:Composition bar
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| New Democratic Social democracy
Democratic socialism 		Jagmeet Singh 19.71% Vorlage:Composition bar Vorlage:Composition bar
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| Bloc Québécois Quebec sovereigntism
Social democracy 		Mario Beaulieu
Vorlage:Small 		4.66% Vorlage:Composition bar Vorlage:Composition bar
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| Green Green politics
Green liberalism 		Elizabeth May 3.45% Vorlage:Composition bar Vorlage:Composition bar
style="background:Vorlage:Canadian party colour;"| People's Conservatism
Right-libertarianism
Populism
 Maxime Bernier N/A Vorlage:Composition bar

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MPs have announced that they will not be running in the next federal election:

Liberal Party

Conservative Party

New Democratic Party

Timeline

Vorlage:See also Vorlage:Hidden begin

Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner March 23, 2016[26] Jim Hillyer Vorlage:Canadian party colour Death in office October 24, 2016[27] Glen Motz Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Nunavut May 31, 2016[28] Hunter Tootoo Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus[a 1] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Ottawa—Vanier August 16, 2016[29] Mauril Bélanger Vorlage:Canadian party colour Death in office April 3, 2017 Mona Fortier Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Calgary Heritage August 26, 2016[30] Stephen Harper Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation April 3, 2017 Bob Benzen Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Calgary Midnapore September 23, 2016[31] Jason Kenney Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 2] April 3, 2017 Stephanie Kusie Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Saint-Laurent January 31, 2017[32] Stéphane Dion Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 3] April 3, 2017 Emmanuella Lambropoulos Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Markham—Thornhill January 31, 2017 John McCallum Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 4] April 3, 2017 Mary Ng Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Sturgeon River—Parkland July 4, 2017[33] Rona Ambrose Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation October 23, 2017 Dane Lloyd Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Lac-Saint-Jean August 9, 2017[34] Denis Lebel Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation October 23, 2017[35] Richard Hébert Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Calgary Skyview August 31, 2017[36] Darshan Kang Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus[a 5] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Scarborough—Agincourt September 14, 2017[37] Arnold Chan Vorlage:Canadian party colour Death in office December 11, 2017[38] Jean Yip Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity September 30, 2017[39] Judy Foote Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 6] December 11, 2017 Churence Rogers Vorlage:Canadian party colour
South Surrey—White Rock September 30, 2017[40] Dianne Watts Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 7] December 11, 2017 Gordon Hogg Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Battlefords—Lloydminster October 2, 2017[41] Gerry Ritz Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation December 11, 2017 Rosemarie Falk Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord December 1, 2017[42] Denis Lemieux Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation June 18, 2018[43] Richard Martel Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Terrebonne February 28, 2018[44][45] Michel Boudrias Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
June 6, 2018[46] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Rivière-du-Nord February 28, 2018 Rhéal Fortin Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 17, 2018[47] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Mirabel February 28, 2018 Simon Marcil Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
June 6, 2018 Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Repentigny February 28, 2018 Monique Pauzé Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 17, 2018[47] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel February 28, 2018 Louis Plamondon Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 17, 2018[47] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Joliette February 28, 2018 Gabriel Ste-Marie Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 17, 2018[47] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Montcalm February 28, 2018 Luc Thériault Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 17, 2018[47] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes May 2, 2018[48] Gord Brown Vorlage:Canadian party colour Death in office
Regina—Lewvan May 3, 2018[49] Erin Weir Vorlage:Canadian party colour Removed from caucus[a 8] May 11, 2018[50] Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Outremont August 3, 2018[51] Tom Mulcair Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation
Beauce August 23, 2018[52] Maxime Bernier Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour
September 14, 2018 Vorlage:Canadian party colour
Burnaby South September 14, 2018[53] Kennedy Stewart Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation[a 9]
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill September 17, 2018[54] Leona Alleslev Vorlage:Canadian party colour Changed affiliation Vorlage:Canadian party colour
York—Simcoe September 30, 2018[55] Peter Van Loan Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resignation
Parry Sound—Muskoka November 7, 2018[56] Tony Clement Vorlage:Canadian party colour Resigned from caucus Vorlage:Canadian party colour

Vorlage:Hidden end Vorlage:Reflist

2015

2016

  • April 10, 2016: 52% of delegates at the 2016 NDP convention voted in support of a leadership review motion to hold a leadership election within 24 months.[4] Party leader Tom Mulcair announces he will stay on as leader until his replacement is chosen.[62]
  • September 9, 2016: Strength in Democracy, a party which had three incumbent MPs among its 17 candidates in the last election is deregistered by Elections Canada for failure to file papers maintaining its party status.[63]

2017

2018

Opinion polls

 
Evolution of voting intentions during the pre-campaign period of the 43rd Canadian federal election. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and margin of error. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the regressions, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals. -- Source code for plot generation is available here.

Vorlage:Clear

Candidates

Election spending

Before the campaign, there were no limits to what a political party, candidate, or third party (corporations, unions, special interest groups, etc.) can spend: spending rules are only in force after the writs have been dropped and the campaign has begun.[72]

Reimbursements for political parties and candidates

Political parties receive a reimbursement for 50 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Similarly, electoral district associations receive a reimbursement of 60 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Both reimbursements are publicly funded.[73]

Registered third parties

A person or group must register as a third party immediately after incurring election advertising expenses totalling $500 or more.[74] There are strict limits on advertising expenses, and specific limits that can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district. Registered third parties are subject to an election advertising expenses limit of $150,000. Of that amount, no more than $8,788 can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district.[75]

See also

Notes

Vorlage:Reflist

References

Vorlage:Reflist

Vorlage:Canada macroriding Vorlage:Canelections Vorlage:Election canada

  1. ↑ Amendment to Canada Elections Act. Queen's Printer for Canada, 6. November 2006, abgerufen am 29. Juli 2011.
  2. ↑ a b Bloc Québécois' new leader: Who is Martine Ouellet? In: The Montreal Gazette. Abgerufen am 14. März 2017.
  3. ↑ a b Catharine Tunney: Embattled Bloc Québécois leader Martine Ouellet resigns In: CBC News, June 4, 2018 
  4. ↑ a b Kirkup, Kristy: NDP rejects Mulcair as leader, votes in support of holding leadership race In: Ottawa Citizen, 10 April 2016 
  5. ↑ a b Kristy Kirkup: Jagmeet Singh named leader of the federal NDP. In: CTV News. 1. Oktober 2017, abgerufen am 1. Oktober 2017.
  6. ↑ John Geddes: Can Justin Trudeau fix the vote with electoral reform? In: Macleans.ca. Abgerufen am 9. Januar 2016.
  7. ↑ Justin Trudeau unveils Liberal platform. In: CBC Player. 6. Januar 2016, abgerufen am 9. Januar 2016.
  8. ↑ Mulcair Promises Proportional Representation If NDP Wins. In: The Huffington Post. 2. Januar 2015, abgerufen am 9. Januar 2016.
  9. ↑ Aaron Wherry: Electoral reform committee recommends referendum on proportional representation, but Liberals disagree, December 1, 2016 
  10. ↑ Joan Bryden: Liberal MPs urge Prime Minister to break promise of new voting system by next election, December 1, 2016 
  11. ↑ Aaron Wherry: Trudeau government abandons promise of electoral reform. In: CBC News. Abgerufen am 1. Februar 2017.
  12. ↑ Andrea Gunn: Bill Casey plans to retire next year In: Truro Daily News, September 14, 2018. Abgerufen im September 16, 2018 
  13. ↑ Quentin Parisis: Le député Di Iorio change d’idée et terminera son mandat. In: Journal Metro. 18. September 2018, abgerufen am 21. September 2018.
  14. ↑ a b Neil Moss: A Liberal and a Tory join swelling list of MPs sitting out next election. In: Hill Times. 3. Oktober 2018, abgerufen am 5. Oktober 2018.
  15. ↑ David Akin: Liberal incumbent to leave Toronto-area seat, setting up rare GTA opening for Tories In: Global News, October 24, 2018. Abgerufen im October 31, 2018 
  16. ↑ "Eglinski not seeking re-election"
  17. ↑ John Ivison: Shunned 'values' crusader Kellie Leitch's political career comes to its inevitable end In: National Post, 24. Januar 2018 (amerikanisches Englisch). 
  18. ↑ Long-time Conservative MP Bev Shipley will not seek re-election In: CBC, 9. Juli 2018 (amerikanisches Englisch). 
  19. ↑ CBC News: Dauphin-area MP Robert Sopuck won't run in 2019 election, 7 May 2018. Abgerufen im 8 May 2018 
  20. ↑ "Van Kesteren won't seek re-election", London Free Press, January 5, 2018
  21. ↑ David Christopherson, long-time Hamilton Centre MP, says he won't run again In: CBC News, 5 July 2018 
  22. ↑ News to share: my plans for 2019 In: Facebook, 28 August 2018 
  23. ↑ Marie Vastel: Hélène Laverdière, du NPD, quitte la politique fédérale In: Le Devoir, 9 July 2018 
  24. ↑ NDP MP Irene Mathyssen announces retirement In: CBC News, 27 August 2018 
  25. ↑ Laura Rycekewaert: Political parties busy laying groundwork this summer for 2019 election, Conservatives already ahead In: The Hill Times, 2 July 2018. Abgerufen im 5 July 2018 „NDP MPs Romeo Saganash (Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou, Que.) and Kennedy Stewart (Burnaby South, B.C.) have already announced they aren't running for re-election.“ 
  26. ↑ Alberta Conservative MP Jim Hillyer dies at age 41 In: Toronto Star, March 23, 2016 
  27. ↑ David Bell: Conservative Glen Motz thanks Trudeau after winning Medicine Hat-Cardston-Warner byelection In: CBC News, October 24, 2016. Abgerufen im October 28, 2016 
  28. ↑ Hunter Tootoo resigns as fisheries minister, leaves Liberal caucus In: CBC News, May 31, 2016 
  29. ↑ Liberal MP Mauril Bélanger dies at 61 In: CTV News, August 16, 2016 
  30. ↑ Stephanie Levitz: Stephen Harper gives up House of Commons seat In: CBC News, August 26, 2016 
  31. ↑ Jason Kenney to resign federal seat next week In: CBC News, September 13, 2016 
  32. ↑ Peter Zimonjic: Stéphane Dion accepts role as ambassador to EU and Germany, as he and John McCallum depart House. In: CBC News. 31. Januar 2017, abgerufen am 5. Juli 2017.
  33. ↑ Rona Ambrose formally resigns as Conservative MP after serving for 13 years. In: CBC News. 4. Juli 2017, abgerufen am 5. Juli 2017.
  34. ↑ Éric Grenier: Denis Lebel's departure to put Andrew Scheer's Conservative leadership to tough electoral test. In: CBC News. 20. Juni 2017, abgerufen am 5. Juli 2017.
  35. ↑ Liberals win Lac-Saint-Jean for first time since 1980. In: Montreal Gazette. 24. Oktober 2017, abgerufen am 24. Oktober 2017.
  36. ↑ Calgary MP Darshan Kang resigns from Liberal caucus amid sexual harassment allegations - Toronto Star. In: thestar.com. Abgerufen am 1. September 2017.
  37. ↑ Bruce Campion-Smith: Scarborough MP Arnold Chan dies of cancer. In: Toronto Star. 14. September 2017, abgerufen am 14. September 2017.
  38. ↑ Four federal by-elections across Canada to be held in December. In: The Globe and Mail. 5. November 2017, abgerufen am 5. November 2017.
  39. ↑ Judy Foote to step down as MP on Saturday. In: The Telegram. 27. September 2017, abgerufen am 29. September 2017.
  40. ↑ Dianne Watts enters BC Liberal leadership race, will resign as Tory MP. In: CBC News. 24. September 2017, abgerufen am 29. September 2017.
  41. ↑ Rachel Aiello: Long-time Conservative MP Gerry Ritz resigns, not running to lead Saskatchewan Party. In: CTV News. 31. August 2017, abgerufen am 31. August 2017.
  42. ↑ Quebec member of Parliament Denis Lemieux resigns seat. In: CBC News. 6. November 2017, abgerufen am 6. November 2017.
  43. ↑ Le conservateur Richard Martel élu député fédéral de Chicoutimi–Le Fjord In: Journal De Quebec, 19 June 2018 
  44. ↑ a b Clement Allard: Seven of 10 Bloc Quebecois MPs quit over Martine Ouellet's leadership In: The Globe and Mail, February 28, 2018 
  45. ↑ a b Alex Ballingall: Seven of 10 Bloc Québécois MPs quit caucus in protest of leader Martine Ouellet In: Toronto Star, February 28, 2018 
  46. ↑ a b c Two of seven MPs who quit the Bloc Quebecois returning to the party In: The Canadian Press, June 6, 2018 
  47. ↑ a b c d e f 5 Bloc Québécois MPs who quit party returning to the fold. In: CBC News. 17. September 2018, abgerufen am 17. September 2018.
  48. ↑ Kathleen Harris: 'Incredibly decent man': Conservative MP Gord Brown dies after heart attack in Parliament Hill office. 2. Mai 2018, abgerufen am 2. Mai 2018.
  49. ↑ Catharine Tunney: MP Erin Weir expelled from NDP caucus after harassment investigation In: CBC News, 3 May 2018. Abgerufen im 4 May 2018 
  50. ↑ Stefanie Marotta: Erin Weir declares himself a member of the CCF - a party that no longer exists In: CBC News, May 11, 2018 
  51. ↑ John Paul Tasker: Former NDP leader Tom Mulcair leaving federal politics in June. 18. Dezember 2017, abgerufen am 18. Dezember 2017.
  52. ↑ Catharine Tunney: MP Maxime Bernier quits Conservative Party In: CBC News, August 23, 2018 
  53. ↑ Mike Laanela: Kennedy Stewart confirms he will run for mayor of Vancouver as independent. 10. Mai 2018, abgerufen am 11. Mai 2018.
  54. ↑ John Paul Tasker: Toronto-area Liberal MP Leona Alleslev crosses the floor to join Conservatives. In: CBC News. 17. September 2018, abgerufen am 17. September 2018.
  55. ↑ Peter Van Loan, former House Leader under Stephen Harper, retiring In: Toronto Star, July 29, 2018 
  56. ↑ Anna Desmarais: Scheer boots Clement from Tory caucus over sexually explicit images In: iPolitics, November 7, 2018 
  57. ↑ Stephen Harper resigns as Conservative leader In: CTV News, October 19, 2015 
  58. ↑ Les Perreaux: Bloc leader Duceppe, former PQ interim leader both resign In: The Globe and Mail, October 22, 2015. Abgerufen im November 5, 2015 
  59. ↑ Lifting the curtain on Harper's covert exit strategy In: Ottawa Citizen, October 28, 2015. Abgerufen im October 29, 2015 
  60. ↑ Rona Ambrose named interim leader of the Conservative Party of Canada In: The National Post, November 5, 2015 
  61. ↑ Anna Mehler Paperny: Canada's parliament will reconvene in December In: Global News, November 4, 2015. Abgerufen im November 5, 2015 
  62. ↑ Wherry, Aaron: NDP votes in favour of holding new leadership race In: CBC News, April 10, 2016. Abgerufen im 10 April 2016 
  63. ↑ Grenier, Éric: Start-up party Strength in Democracy deregistered by Elections Canada. In: CBC News. 9. September 2016, abgerufen am 17. Oktober 2016.
  64. ↑ Andrew Scheer is the new leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. In: National Post. Abgerufen am 27. Mai 2017.
  65. ↑ Calgary MP Darshan Kang resigns from Liberal caucus amid sexual harassment allegations | The Star In: thestar.com. Abgerufen am 23. November 2018 (englisch). 
  66. ↑ Terry Milewski: NDP sets leadership convention for fall of 2017. In: CBC News. 15. Mai 2016, abgerufen am 5. Juli 2017.
  67. ↑ Stefanie Marotta: Bloc rebels announce new party name and abandon the separatist program In: CBC News, May 9, 2018. Abgerufen im May 11, 2018 
  68. ↑ [1]
  69. ↑ Maxime Bernier launches the People's Party of Canada. 14. September 2018, abgerufen am 14. September 2018.
  70. ↑ Toronto-area Liberal MP Leona Alleslev crosses the floor to join Conservatives. 17. September 2018, abgerufen am 17. September 2018.
  71. ↑ Alex Boutilier: Clement booted from Conservative caucus over sexting scandal In: Toronto Star, November 7, 2018 
  72. ↑ Elections Canada Online – Third Party Election Advertising Expenses Limits. In: elections.ca. Abgerufen am 3. August 2015.
  73. ↑ Elections Canada Online – The Electoral System of Canada. In: elections.ca. Abgerufen am 3. August 2015.
  74. ↑ Elections Canada Online – Election advertising handbook for Third Parties, Financial Agents and Auditors (EC 20227) – July 2015. In: elections.ca. Archiviert vom Original am 15. August 2015; abgerufen am 10. August 2015.
  75. ↑ Elections Canada Online – Limits on Election Advertising Expenses Incurred by Third Parties. In: elections.ca. Archiviert vom Original am 15. August 2015; abgerufen am 10. August 2015.


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