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Indicator analysis

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Indicator analysis is a type of structured analytic technique used in intelligence analysis. While indicators (or "signposts") themselves are observable and measurable conditions or events, indicator analysis uses historical data to expose trends in those indicators, allowing the analyst to detect early signs of significant change.

Development/history

Context Structured analytic techniques Indicator analysis is a structured analytic technique. Structured analytic techniques are used by intelligence analysts to remove bias and create a clear argument to reinforce their conclusions. Elements

Process 1 - Identify a set of relevant factors to the topic at large 2 - Identify near-term scenarios that could result from worsening or improvement in each factor 3 - Identify a series of events that could indicate improvement or deterioration within each factor 4 - Review historical and ongoing events for indicators within each factor 5 - Identify trends to forecast which near-term scenario is most likely to occur

Benefits

Weaknesses

Related Structured Analytic Techniques



References