Computer simulation and organizational studies
Introduction
Computer Simulation has been a prominant method in organizational studies and strategic management. While their are many uses for computer simulation (including the development of engineering systems inside high-technology firms), most academics in the fields of strategic management and organizational studies have used computer simulation about how organizations or firms work. While the strategy researchers have tended to focus on testing theories of firm performance and many organizational theorists are focused on more descriptive theories, the one uniting theme has been the use of computational models to either verify or extend theories. It is perhaps no accident that those researchers using computational simulation have been inspired by ideas from biological modeling, ecology, theoretical physics and thermodynamics, chaos theory, complexity theory and organizational studies since these methods have also been fruitfully used in those areas.
Basic Distinctions
Those studying organzations and firms using computer simulations mayneed to understand a varity of basic distinctions and definitions that are used in by computational scientists
- Agent-based vs Equation-based: agent-based models unfold according to the interactions of relatively simple actions, while equation-based models unfold numerically based on a variety of dynamic equations (Note: some aruge this is something of a false distinction since some agent based models use equiations to direct the behavior of their agents)
- Model: simplied versions of the real world that contain only essential elements of theoretical interst (Lave and March)
- Complexity of the model: the number of conceptual parts in the model and the connections between those parts (Simon)
- Deterministic vs. Stochastic: deterministic models unfold exactly as specified by some pre-specified logic, while stochastic models depend on a variety of draws from probability distributions
- Optimizing vs. Descriptive: models with actors that either seek optimums (like the peaks in fitness landscapes) or do not
Methodological Approaches
There are a variety of different methodological approaches in the area of computational simulation. These include but are not limited to the following. (Note: this list is not Mutually Exclusive nor Collectively Exhaustive, but tries to be fair to the dominant trends. For three different taxonomies see Carley 2001; Davis et. al. 2005; Dooley 2002)
- Agent-Based Models: computational models investigating the interaction of multiple agents (many of the following approaches can be 'agent-based' as well)
- Cellular Automata: models exploring multiple actors in physical space whose behavior is based on rules
- Genetic Algorithms: models of agents whose genetic information can evolve over time
- Equation-Based (or Non-Linear Modeling): models using (typically non-linear) equations that determine the future state of its sytems
- Social Network models: any model representing actors as connected through stereotypical 'ties' as in social network analysis
- Stochastic Simulation: models that involve random variables or source of stochasticity
- Systems Dynamics: equation-based approach using casual-loops and stocks & flows of reources
- NK Modeling: actors modeled as N nodes linked through K connections that are (typically) trying to reach the peak of a fitness landscape
Early Research
Early research in strategy and organizations using computational simulation concerned itself with either the macro-behavior of systems or specific organziational mechanisms. Highlights of early research included:
- Cohen, March,& Olsen's 1972 Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice modeled organizations as a set of solutions seeking problems in a rather anarchic 'garbage can'-esque organization.
- March's 1991 study of Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning utilized John Holland's basic distiction to show the value of slow learners in organizations.
- Nelson & Winter's 1981 "Evolutionary theory" used a simulation to show that an evolutionary model could produce the same sort of GDP / productivity numbers as neo-classical rational choice theorizing.
Abelson, H., Sussman, G. J., & Sussman, J. 1996. Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Adner, R., & Levinthal, D. 2001. Demand Heterogeneity and Technology Evolution: Implications for Product and Process Innovation. Management Science, 47(5): 611-628. Afuah, A. 1998. Competitive Advantage from Intellectual Capital: The Case of Cholesterol Ethical Drugs: ICOS Seminar. Aldrich, H. 1999. Organizations Evolving. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. Bruderer, E., & Singh, J. S. 1996. Organizational Evolution, Learning, and Selection: A Genetic-Algorithm-Based Model. Academy of Management Journal, 19(5): 1322-1349. Campbell, D. T., & Stanley, J. C. 1966. Experimental and quasi-experimental designts for research. Chicago: Rand McNally. Carley, K. M. 2001. Computational Approaches to Sociological Theorizing. In J. Turner (Ed.), Handbook of Sociological Theory: 69-84. New York, NY: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers. Carroll, G., & Harrison, J. R. 1998. Organizational Demography and Culture: Insights from a Formal Model and Simulation. Administrative Science Quarterly, 43: 637-667. Chattoe, E. 1998. Just how (un)realistic are evolutionary algorithms as representations of social processes? Journal of Artificial Social Science Simulation, 1(3): 2.1-2.36. Cohen, M. D., March, J., & Olsen, J. P. 1972. A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice. Administrative Science Quarterly, 17(1): 1-25. Cook, T. D., & Campbell, D. T. 1979. Quasi-Experimentation: Design and Analysis Issues for Field Settings. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company. Davis, J., Eisenhardt, K. & Bingham, C. 2005. Complexity Theory, Market Dynamism, and the Strategy of Simple Rules. Stanford Technology Ventures Program -- Working Paper. Davis, M. S. 1971. That's Interesting! Towards a Phenomenology of Sociology and a Sociology of Phenomenology. Phil. Soc. Sci., 1: 309-344. Dubin, R. 1976. Theory Building in Applied Areas. In M. Dunnette (Ed.), Handbook of Industrial and Organizational Psychology: 17-40. Chicago, IL: Rand McNally. Eisenhardt, K. M. 1989. Building Theories from Case Study Research. Academy of Management Review, 14: 532-550. Fichman, M. 1999. Variance Explained: Why Size Doesn't (Always) Matter. Research in Organizational Behavior, 21: 295-331. Fine, G. A., & Elsbach, K. D. 2000. Ethnography and Experiment in Social Psychological Theory Building. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 36: 51-76. Forrester, J. 1961. Industrial Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Freese, L. 1980. Formal theorizing. Annual Review of Sociology, 6: 187-212. Gallager, R. 1996. Discrete Stochastic Processes. Boston, MA: Kluwer Academic Publishers. Gavetti, G., & Levinthal, D. 2000. Looking Forward and Looking Backward: Cognitive and Experiential Search. Administrative Science Quarterly, 45: 113-137. Glaser, B., & Strauss, A. L. 1967. The Discovery of Grounded Theory: Strategies for Qualitative Research. London: Wiedenfeld and Nicholson. Goldberg, D. E. 1989. Genetic algorithms: In search of optimization and machine learning. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley. Harrison, J. R., & Carroll, G. R. 1991. Keeping the faith: A model of cultural transmission in formal organizations. Administrative Science Quarterly, 36: 552-582. Holland, J. H. 1975. Adaptation in natural and artificial systems. Ann Arbor, MI: The University of Michigan Press. Kauffman, S. 1989. Adaptation on rugged fitness landscapes. In E. Stein (Ed.), Lectures in the Science of Complexity. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley. Kauffman, S. 1993. The Origins of Order. New York, NY: Oxford University Press. Kreps, D. M. 1990. Corporate culture and economic theory. In J. E. Alt, & K. A. Shepsle (Eds.), Perspectives on positive political economy: 90-143. Cambridge [England] ; New York: Cambridge University Press. Langton, C. G. 1984. Self-Reproduction in Cellular Automata. Physica, 10D: 134-144. Lant, T., & Mezias, S. 1990. Managing Discontinuous Change: A Simulation Study of Organizational Learning and Entrepreneurship. Strategic Management Journal, 11: 147-179. Lant, T., & Mezias, S. 1992. An Organizational Learning Model of Convergence and Reorientation. Organization Science, 3(1): 47-71. Lattin, J. 2003. Analyzing Multivariate Data. Toronto: Brooks/Cole, Thomson Learning, Inc. Lave, C., & March, J. G. 1975. An Introduction to Models in the Social Sciences. New York, NY: Harper and Row. Law, A. M., & Kelton, D. W. 1991. Simulation Modeling and Analysis (2nd ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill. Lee, T., Mitchell, T. and C. Sablynski. Qualitative Research in Organizational and Vocational Psychology. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 55: 161-187. Levinthal, D. 1997. Adaptation on Rugged Landscapes. Management Science, 43: 934-950. Lomi, A., & Larsen, E. 1996. Interacting Locally and Evolving Globally: A Comutational Approach to The Dynamics of Organizational Populations. Academy of Management Journal, 39(4): 1287-1321. March, J. G. 1991. Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning. Organization Science, 2(1): 71-87. Nelson, R. R., & Winter, S. G. 1982. An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Belknap - Harvard University Press. Pfeffer, J. 1982. Organizations and organization theory. Boston: Pitman. Pfeffer, J. 1993. Barriers to the Advance of Organizational Science: Paradigm development as a Dependent Variable. Academy of Management Review, 18(4): 599-620. Priem, R. L., & Butler, J. E. 2001. Is the Resource-based "View" a Useful Perspective for Strategic Management Research? Academy of Management Review, 26(1): 22-41. Repenning, N. 2002. A Simulation-Based Approach to Understanding the Dynamics of Innovation Implementation. Organization Science, 13(2): 109-127. Repenning, N. 2003. Selling system dynamics to (other) social scientists. System Dynamics Review, 19(4): 303-327. Rivkin, J., W. 2000. Imitation of Complex Strategies. Management Science, 46(6): 824-844. Rivkin, J., W. 2001. Reproducing Knowledge: Replication Without Imitation at Moderate Complexity. Organization Science, 12(3): 274-293. Rosenthal, R., & Rosenow, R. L. 1991. Essentials of Behavioral Research: Methods and Data Analysis (2nd ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill. Rudolph, J., & Repenning, N. 2002. Disaster Dynamics: Understanding the Role of Quantity in Organizational Collapse. Administrative Science Quarterly, 47: 1-30. Sastry, M. A. 1997. Problems and paradoxes in a model of punctuated organizational change. Administrative Science Quarterly, 42(2): 237-275. Schelling, T. 1971. Dynamic models of segregation. Journal of Mathematical Sociology, 1: 143-186. Sterman, J. 2000. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. New York, NY: Irwin McGraw-Hill. Sterman, J., Repenning, N., & Kofman, F. 1997. Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement. Management Science, 43(4): 503-521. Stinchcombe, A. 1968. Constructing Social Theories. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press. Sutton, R. I., & Staw, B. M. 1995. What theory is not. Administrative Science Quarterly, 40(3): 371-384. Tushman, M., & Romanelli, E. 1985. Organizational Evolution: A metamorphosis model of convergence and reorientation. In L. L. Cummings, & B. M. Staw (Eds.), Research in Organizational Behavior, Vol. 7: 171-222. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press. Van Maanen, J. 1995. Style as theory. Organization Science, 6(1): 133-143. Weick, K. E. 1989. Theory Construction as Disciplined Imagination. Academy of Management Review, 14(4): 516-531. Weick, K. E. 1993. The vulnerable system: An analysis of the Tenerife air disaster. In K. H. Roberts (Ed.), New Challenges to Understanding Organizations: 173-198. New York, NY: Macmillan. Whetten, D. 1989. What constitutes a theoretical contribution? Academy of Management Review, 14: 490-495. Wolfram, S. 2002. A New Kind of Science. Champaign, IL: Wolfram Media. Wright, S. 1931. Evolution in Mendelian populations. Genetics, 16: 97. Yerkes, R. M., & Dodson, J. D. 1908. The relation of strength of stimulus to rapdity of habit formation. Journal of Comparative Neurological Psychology, 18: 459-482. Yin, R. K. 1994. Case Study Research: Design and Methods (Second ed.). Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications. Zott, C. 2002. When adaptation fails: An agent-based explanation of inefficient bargaining under private information. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 46: 727-753. Zott, C. 2003. Dynamic Capabilities and the Emergence of Intra-industry Differential Firm Performance: Insights from a Simulation Study. Strategic Management Journal, 24: 97-125.