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Bayesian econometrics

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Bayesian econometrics is a branch of econometrics which applies Bayesian principles to economic modelling. Bayesianism is based on a degree-of-belief interpretation of probability, as opposed to a relative-frequency interpretation.

The Bayesian principle relies on Bayes' theorem which states that the probability of B conditional on A is the ratio of joint probability of A and B divided by probability of B. Bayesian econometricians assume that coefficients in the model have prior distributions.

This approach was first propagated by Arnold Zellner.[citation needed]

References

  • Tony Lancaster (2004) An Introduction to Modern Bayesian Econometrics, Blackwell Publishing. ISBN 1-4051-1720-6
  • Gary Koop, Dale J. Poirier, Justin L. Tobias (2007) Bayesian Econometric Methods, Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-85571-3
  • Zellner, A. (1996) An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics, Wiley. ISBN 0-471-16937-4 (reprint of 1971 edition)